2014

25 Emerging Market Countries will be $27 to $49 Billion Smart Grid Opportunity Over The Next Decade

WASHINGTON, Dec. 7, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- A new study has identified 25 emerging market countries that are positioned for the next wave of smart grid activity over the coming decade.  These countries will represent a smart metering market alone of at least $27 billion and could reach $49 billion by 2020. The total number of electricity meters in these countries will grow to 406 million by 2020, with 28% already under some regulatory mandate or target to be "smart meters."  The new study, released by Northeast Group, LLC is entitled "Emerging Markets Smart Grid: 25-Country Overview." It analyzes the smart grid potential of 25 countries from Central/Eastern Europe, Latin America, Middle East/North Africa, South Africa, and Southeast Asia.

"The majority of smart grid activity to-date has taken place in well known markets in North America, Western Europe and East Asia. These developed markets represent more than 95% of the current installed base of smart meters worldwide. However, there are a number of very attractive emerging market countries that have not received as much coverage and have very strong potential for smart metering and other smart grid projects. We view these 25 countries as representing the next wave of activity worldwide," according to Northeast Group, LLC.

"Smart grid offers emerging markets a number of potential benefits. Countries can improve overall electric utility reliability, reduce electricity theft rates, manage surging demand and incorporate new sources of renewable energy. Modernizing the electricity infrastructure will be increasingly important as these economies grow quickly over the next several years. The 25 countries in the study are forecast to see average annual GDP growth of 4.3% over the next five years, compared with 1.7% in the developed world," according to Northeast Group, LLC.  

All 25 countries analyzed in the study are projected to begin smart grid deployments in the coming decade. In fact, 11 of the 25 countries are well positioned to begin large-scale smart grid deployments within the next 1–3 years. These include Brazil, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Mexico, Poland, Romania, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, and the United Arab Emirates.  The scope of the study did not include the China or India markets.

Smart metering – or advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) – deployments will make up the majority of initial smart grid activity, creating significant meter hardware, communications, IT, and professional services markets across the 25 countries. Following AMI, there is strong potential for distribution automation, substation automation, and home energy management technologies, including distributed solar generation and electric vehicle supply equipment.

Northeast Group, LLC assessed the smart meter potential of each country based on the potential benefits, the regulatory framework in place and the total market size. The report includes details on each of the 25 countries, including their industry structure, regulatory framework, business case indicators, and existing smart grid activity.

"Emerging Markets Smart Grid: 25-Country Overview" is 91 pages long and includes over 80 unique charts, tables and graphics. To order a copy of the report, please visit www.northeast-group.com or email Ben Gardner at: ben.gardner@northeast-group.com

ABOUT: Northeast Group, LLC is a Washington, DC-based smart grid market intelligence firm. Our research is focused on the smart grid opportunity in emerging market countries.      

Key questions addressed in this report:

  • Which emerging market countries have the most developed smart grid regulatory frameworks?
  • Which emerging market countries have the potential to reap the most direct benefits from smart meter deployments?
  • Which international and local vendors are best placed to take advantage of growth in emerging markets smart grid?
  • How will regional bodies such as the EU, ASEAN, and GCC expedite deployments?
  • What other smart grid projects such as distribution automation, substation automation and home energy management are also evolving?

 

Table of Contents

 

 

 

i. Executive Summary                               

1

ii. Methodology                                          

5

1. Introduction                                          

7

2. Global overview                                    

12

            2.1 Drivers common across emerging markets                                                           

12

            2.2 Smart meter potential in emerging markets                                                          

14

            2.3 Vendor activity                                                                                                   

17

3. Regional and country summaries                                                                                   

19

            3.1 Template description                                                                                            

19

4. Central/Eastern Europe                                                                                                    

21

            3.1 Bulgaria                                                                                                                

23

            3.2 Czech Republic                                                                                                      

25

            3.3 Hungary                                                                                                                 

27

            3.4 Poland                                                                                                                    

29

            3.5 Romania                                                                                                        

31

            3.6 Slovakia                                                                                                          

33

            3.7 Slovenia                                                                                                           

35

5. Latin America                                                                                                               

37

            4.1 Argentina                                                                                                           

39

            4.2 Brazil                                                                                                                 

41

            4.3 Chile                                                                                                                   

43

            4.4 Colombia                                                                                                              

45

            4.5 Mexico                                                                                                                  

47

            4.6 Peru                                                                                                                              

49

6. Middle East/North Africa                                                   

51

            5.1 Egypt                                                                    

53

            5.2 Oman                                                                     

55

            5.3 Qatar                                                                       

57

            5.4 Saudi Arabia                                                             

59

            5.5 United Arab Emirates                                                 

61

7. Southeast Asia                                                                       

63

            6.1 Indonesia                                                                    

65

            6.2 Philippines                                                                   

67

            6.3 Singapore                                                                     

69

            6.4 Thailand                                                                        

71

            6.5 Vietnam                                                                         

73

8. Other regions                                                                              

75

            7.1 South Africa                                                                     

77

            7.2 Turkey                                                                              

79

9. Conclusions                                                                                   

81

            8.1 Next steps                                                                         

81

            8.2 List of abbreviations and acronyms                                        

82

 

 

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

 

 

 

Emerging markets smart grid: key takeaways                             

2

Emerging markets smart meter potential                                     

3

Figure 1.1: Smart grid value chain                                                

6

Figure 1.2: Smart grid model highlighting focus in emerging markets 

7

Table 1.1: Demand response options                                               

9

Figure 2.1: Emerging markets covered in this study                           

11

Figure 2.2: Annual electricity demand growth (2011 – 2020)                

12

Figure 2.3: Global distribution losses                                                 

12

Figure 2.4: Annual manufacturing business losses due to power outages 

13

Figure 2.5: Emerging markets smart meter potential                               

14

Table 2.1: Vendors active in pilot projects in emerging markets                 

16

Table 2.2: Major metering vendor presence in emerging markets                

17

Figure 3.1: Smart meter potential in Central/Eastern Europe                       

20

Figure 4.1: Smart meter potential in Latin America                                      

36

Figure 5.1: Smart meter potential in Middle East/North Africa                        

50

Figure 6.1: Smart meter potential in Southeast Asia                                      

62

Table 8.1:  The next steps and necessary actions                                          

78

 

In addition to the figures and tables shown above, each country summary includes the following:

Table: industry structure;
Table: regulatory framework;
Chart: regional electricity consumption per capita (kWh);
Chart: regional electricity prices (cents per kWh);
Chart: regional distribution losses (%).

Therefore, this study includes an additional 65 unique charts and tables in addition to those cited above.

SOURCE Northeast Group, LLC



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