Allstate's Profits Benefit From Strong Homeowners Results

Company Continues to Advance Auto Profit Improvement Plan

Nov 02, 2015, 19:30 ET from The Allstate Corporation

NORTHBROOK, Ill., Nov. 2, 2015 /PRNewswire/ --

Editor's Note: This news release was previously filed with the SEC and posted to www.sec.gov, as announced in our advisory news release earlier today. For readers' convenience, we also are issuing this full earnings announcement via PR Newswire.

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported financial results for the third quarter of 2015. The financial highlights were:

The Allstate Corporation Consolidated Highlights

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

($ millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

2015

2014

% / pts

Change

2015

2014

% / pts

Change

Consolidated revenues

$

9,028

$

8,936

1.0

$

26,962

$

26,480

1.8

Net income available to common shareholders

621

750

(17.2)

1,595

1,951

(18.2)

   per diluted common share

1.54

1.74

(11.5)

3.87

4.42

(12.4)

Operating income*

610

598

2.0

1,488

1,631

(8.8)

   per diluted common share*

1.52

1.39

9.4

3.61

3.69

(2.2)

Return on common shareholders' equity

   Net income available to common shareholders

12.2

%

13.6

%

(1.4) pts

   Operating income*

12.1

%

13.0

%

(0.9) pts

Book value per common share

47.54

48.28

(1.5)

   Book value per common share, excluding the    impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses    on fixed income securities*

45.49

44.67

1.8

Property-Liability combined ratio

   Recorded

93.6

93.5

0.1 pts

95.8

95.2

0.6 pts

   Underlying combined ratio* (excludes    catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and    amortization of purchased intangibles)

89.3

86.1

3.2 pts

89.1

86.4

2.7 pts

Catastrophe losses

270

517

(47.8)

1,361

1,898

(28.3)

*  

Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("non-GAAP") are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure in the "Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures" section of this document.

"Allstate had net income of $621 million, or $1.54 per diluted common share in the third quarter of 2015, reflecting our focus on delivering good returns on capital, growing profitably and providing cash to shareholders," said Thomas J. Wilson, chairman and chief executive officer of The Allstate Corporation. "The homeowners business continued to generate excellent results due to the repositioning of the business several years ago and low catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2015. Price increases approved for auto insurance for the first nine months of the year were double the average for the same periods of 2013 and 2014 as we work to lower the auto combined ratio. A reduction in underwriting expenses and a 10% increase in Allstate Financial operating income also benefited earnings. The property-liability underlying combined ratio was 89.1 for the nine months ended September 30, 2015, and was slightly above our annual outlook range of 87 - 89. We now expect the full-year underlying combined ratio to be no higher than 89.5.

"Policy in force growth for the property-liability business was 2.3%, driven by the Allstate brand, although auto insurance policy growth declined slightly from the second quarter of 2015, reflecting the impact of our profit improvement plan. Investment results reflected a continuation of the strategy to increase performance-based investing and lower interest rate exposure. The unrealized gain on the investment portfolio declined to $879 million as of September 30, 2015, as credit spreads widened and equity prices declined during the quarter. Book value per common share declined slightly to $47.54 including unrealized gains and losses. Operating income return on equity was 12.1% and common shareholders received $920 million in cash returns through a combination of common share dividends and share repurchases in the quarter."

Third Quarter 2015 Operating Facts

Allstate Brand

Consolidated

Auto

Homeowners

Other Personal Lines

Esurance

Encompass

Net Written Premium Growth

   Q3 2015

4.2

%

5.7

%

2.6

%

0.7

%

3.7

%

-3.5

%

   YTD 2015

4.5

%

5.4

%

2.8

%

1.4

%

7.0

%

-2.0

%

Policy in Force Growth

2.3

%

3.1

%

1.3

%

3.0

%

3.7

%

-5.7

%

Recorded Combined Ratios

   Q3 2015

93.6

98.8

72.5

88.4

106.5

101.3

   YTD 2015

95.8

99.0

81.1

89.9

111.4

104.2

Underlying Combined Ratios

   Q3 2015

89.3

98.1

60.9

82.1

105.3

90.9

   YTD 2015

89.1

97.2

62.0

81.1

109.4

92.7

Investment Portfolio Total Return

   Q3 2015

Nil

   YTD 2015

1.2

%

Third Quarter 2015 Financial Results

Total revenue of $9.0 billion in the third quarter of 2015 reflected a 4.7% increase in property-liability insurance premium and a 5.1% increase in Allstate Financial premium and contract charges, which were partially offset by lower investment income and capital gains. Net income available to common shareholders was $621 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, compared to $750 million, or $1.74 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2014. A decrease of $171 million in after-tax realized capital gains was the primary driver of the change in net income. For the quarter, operating income of $610 million was $12 million higher than the prior year quarter, and operating income per diluted share of $1.52 was 9.4% higher than the third quarter of 2014. Net income return on shareholders' equity was 12.2%, and operating income return on shareholders' equity was 12.1% for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2015.

Total property-liability net written premium of $8.1 billion grew by 4.2% in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the prior year quarter, driven by a 4.7% increase in Allstate brand premium. Allstate brand premiums increased in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the prior year quarter due to growth in policies in force and average premium for auto and homeowners insurance. Esurance net written premium rose 3.7% in the third quarter of 2015 over the prior year quarter, as decreased investment in marketing and auto profit improvement actions slowed policy growth. Encompass net written premium decreased by 3.5% in the third quarter of 2015 from the prior year as a continued decline in policies in force offset higher average premiums in auto and homeowners.

The recorded property-liability combined ratio of 93.6 resulted in $491 million of underwriting income* in the third quarter of 2015. Catastrophe losses of $270 million in the third quarter of 2015 were $247 million lower than the same quarter a year ago. The underlying property-liability combined ratio of 89.3 in the third quarter of 2015 was 3.2 points worse than the same quarter a year ago, driven by higher underlying auto losses. Property-liability underwriting income in the third quarter of 2015 included an unfavorable reserve reestimate of $47 million, primarily due to the annual review of asbestos and environmental exposures in the discontinued lines and coverages segment.

Allstate brand underwriting income of $571 million was $105 million lower than the third quarter of 2014, primarily due to higher non-catastrophe auto losses and lower favorable reserve reestimates, partially offset by higher earned premium and a decline in catastrophe losses. Auto underwriting income declined as continued high auto claims frequency and severity contributed to the third quarter 2015 combined ratio deterioration of 5.7 points to 98.8 from 93.1 in the same quarter a year ago. Property damage frequency and paid claim severities increased 8.9% and 5.4%, respectively, compared to the prior year quarter. Bodily injury frequency increased 6.4% while paid severities decreased 2.9% compared to the prior year quarter. The underlying combined ratio of 98.1 deteriorated 0.3 points from the second quarter of 2015, driven in part by approximately half a point of additional loss expense reserves due to an increased number of claims. Allstate brand homeowners underwriting income of $458 million improved by $154 million in the third quarter of 2015, reflecting strong underlying profitability and low catastrophe losses.

We continued to implement our multi-faceted auto profit improvement plan which includes increasing prices, tightening underwriting standards, managing loss cost through focus on claims process excellence and reducing expenses. Allstate brand auto rate increases of 3.4% were approved in the first nine months of 2015, compared to 1.1% through the first nine months of 2013 and 1.6% through the first nine months of 2014. Based on historical premiums written, approved auto rate changes totaled $277 million and $600 million in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015, respectively. These amounts do not assume customer choices such as non-renewal or changes in policy terms which might reduce future premiums. Over the last nine months, we have increased auto rates in all three brands: Allstate 3.4%, Esurance 4.1%, and Encompass 7.4%. We also made underwriting guideline adjustments in all three underwriting brands in geographic areas and customer segments experiencing less than acceptable returns. Lower advertising, professional services costs, compensation incentives and technology expenses reduced the property-liability expense ratio by 1.4 points in the third quarter of 2015.

Allstate Financial operating income of $138 million in the third quarter of 2015 was $13 million higher than the prior year quarter, driven by strong performance-based investment income, partially offset by higher life insurance mortality and a lower yield on the interest-bearing portfolio. Allstate Benefits, which sells through the workplace, grew premium and contract charges 7.4% in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the prior year quarter. Longer maturity bonds that support the long-term immediate annuity liabilities were sold in the quarter so the proceeds can be invested in higher returning performance-based assets.  This generated capital gains in the quarter and will reduce near-term operating income but is expected to improve long-term economic results.

Net Investment Income of $807 million for the third quarter of 2015 was 1.9% lower than the prior year quarter, and reflects lower average investment balances and a decline in interest-bearing portfolio yields, primarily in the Allstate Financial portfolio.  Investment income from the performance-based long-term strategy increased over the prior year quarter largely due to strong distributions from private equity investments as financing and acquisition conditions facilitated the sales of underlying investments.  We also experienced appreciation across the private equity portfolio, partially reduced by declines in valuation of energy and emerging markets investments. Income from real estate investments was lower compared to the prior year quarter as appreciation slowed.  Total portfolio return was flat for the quarter as a 1.0% contribution from net investment income was offset by (1.0)% from lower valuations driven primarily by wider credit spreads. Total portfolio carrying value was $78.34 billion as of September 30, 2015 compared to $81.11 billion as of December 31, 2014.  Unrealized pre-tax net capital gains totaled $1.45 billion as of September 30, 2015 compared to $3.17 billion as of December 31, 2014.

Continued Focus on Capital Management

"We continued our commitment to provide good returns to shareholders while maintaining a strong capital position to provide strategic flexibility," said Steve Shebik, chief financial officer. "In the third quarter, we returned $920 million to common shareholders through a combination of common stock dividends and repurchasing $798 million of outstanding shares."

As of September 30, 2015, $1.1 billion remained on the current $3 billion common share repurchase authorization. Year to date, we have repurchased 8.0% of the beginning-of-year outstanding shares. Book value per diluted common share of $47.54 was lower than in both the prior year quarter and second quarter of 2015.

Visit www.allstateinvestors.com to view additional information about Allstate's results, including a webcast of its quarterly conference call and the call presentation. The conference call will be held at 9 a.m. ET on Tuesday, November 3.

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation's largest publicly held personal lines insurer, protecting approximately 16 million households from life's uncertainties through auto, home, life and other insurance offered through its Allstate, Esurance, Encompass and Answer Financial brand names. Allstate is widely known through the slogan "You're In Good Hands With Allstate®." The Allstate brand's network of small businesses offers auto, home, life and retirement products and services to customers in the United States and Canada.

Financial information, including material announcements about The Allstate Corporation, is routinely posted on www.allstateinvestors.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains "forward-looking statements" that anticipate results based on our estimates, assumptions and plans that are subject to uncertainty. These statements are made subject to the safe-harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and may be identified by their use of words like "plans," "seeks," "expects," "will," "should," "anticipates," "estimates," "intends," "believes," "likely," "targets" and other words with similar meanings. We believe these statements are based on reasonable estimates, assumptions and plans. However, if the estimates, assumptions or plans underlying the forward-looking statements prove inaccurate or if other risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those communicated in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the forward-looking statements may be found in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the "Risk Factors" section in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement.

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

($ in millions, except per share data)

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

(unaudited)

(unaudited)

Revenues

Property-liability insurance premiums

$

7,650

$

7,307

$

22,625

$

21,575

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

538

512

1,611

1,637

Net investment income

807

823

2,446

2,680

Realized capital gains and losses:

Total other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") losses

(186)

(53)

(286)

(177)

OTTI losses reclassified to (from) other comprehensive income

12

20

(2)

Net OTTI losses recognized in earnings

(174)

(53)

(266)

(179)

Sales and other realized capital gains and losses

207

347

546

767

Total realized capital gains and losses

33

294

280

588

9,028

8,936

26,962

26,480

Costs and expenses

Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

5,255

4,909

15,835

14,810

Life and annuity contract benefits

460

433

1,347

1,334

Interest credited to contractholder funds

194

198

578

717

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

1,092

1,030

3,248

3,100

Operating costs and expenses

992

1,068

3,143

3,185

Restructuring and related charges

9

3

32

13

Loss on extinguishment of debt

1

Interest expense

73

78

219

249

8,075

7,719

24,402

23,409

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations

2

(27)

2

(77)

Income from operations before income tax expense

955

1,190

2,562

2,994

Income tax expense

305

409

880

968

Net income

650

781

1,682

2,026

Preferred stock dividends

29

31

87

75

Net income available to common shareholders

$

621

$

750

$

1,595

$

1,951

Earnings per common share:

Net income available to common shareholders per

common share – Basic

$

1.56

$

1.77

$

3.92

$

4.49

Weighted average common shares – Basic

397.0

424.5

406.5

435.0

Net income available to common shareholders per

common share – Diluted

$

1.54

$

1.74

$

3.87

$

4.42

Weighted average common shares – Diluted

402.1

431.2

412.4

441.6

Cash dividends declared per common share

$

0.30

$

0.28

$

0.90

$

0.84

 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

BUSINESS RESULTS

($ in millions, except ratios)

Three months ended

Nine months ended

September 30,

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Property-Liability

Premiums written

$

8,137

$

7,806

$

23,320

$

22,322

Premiums earned

$

7,650

$

7,307

$

22,625

$

21,575

Claims and claims expense

(5,255)

(4,909)

(15,835)

(14,810)

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

(1,029)

(972)

(3,050)

(2,902)

Operating costs and expenses

(867)

(948)

(2,763)

(2,817)

Restructuring and related charges

(8)

(4)

(29)

(11)

   Underwriting income

491

474

948

1,035

Net investment income

307

344

957

1,007

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

(1)

(1)

(2)

(7)

Amortization of purchased intangible assets

12

17

37

51

Income tax expense on operations

(259)

(281)

(637)

(701)

   Operating income

550

553

1,303

1,385

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

(104)

173

(55)

368

(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax

(1)

(1)

37

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge    derivative instruments, after-tax

1

4

Amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax

(8)

(11)

(24)

(33)

Change in accounting for investments in qualified affordable   housing projects, after-tax

(28)

   Net income available to common shareholders

$

437

$

714

$

1,197

$

1,761

Catastrophe losses

$

270

$

517

$

1,361

$

1,898

Operating ratios:

   Claims and claims expense ratio

68.7

67.2

70.0

68.6

   Expense ratio

24.9

26.3

25.8

26.6

   Combined ratio

93.6

93.5

95.8

95.2

   Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

3.5

7.1

6.0

8.8

   Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

0.6

0.1

0.5

   Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates     on combined ratio

0.2

   Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets on combined ratio

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

   Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

0.7

1.4

0.2

0.5

Allstate Financial

Premiums and contract charges

$

538

$

512

$

1,611

$

1,637

Net investment income

491

473

1,464

1,651

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

(1)

Contract benefits

(460)

(433)

(1,347)

(1,334)

Interest credited to contractholder funds

(191)

(200)

(574)

(699)

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

(61)

(56)

(192)

(195)

Operating costs and expenses

(112)

(115)

(353)

(345)

Restructuring and related charges

(1)

1

(3)

(2)

Income tax expense on operations

(66)

(57)

(195)

(233)

   Operating income

138

125

411

479

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

125

19

235

13

Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

(2)

2

(3)

(12)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses and    valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

(1)

(3)

(3)

(3)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge    derivative instruments, after-tax

1

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

2

(27)

1

(55)

Change in accounting for investments in qualified affordable housing    projects, after-tax

(17)

    Net income available to common shareholders

$

262

$

116

$

624

$

423

Corporate and Other

Net investment income

$

9

$

6

$

25

$

22

Operating costs and expenses

(86)

(83)

(246)

(272)

Income tax benefit on operations

28

28

82

92

Preferred stock dividends

(29)

(31)

(87)

(75)

   Operating loss

(78)

(80)

(226)

(233)

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

   Net loss available to common shareholders

$

(78)

$

(80)

$

(226)

$

(233)

Consolidated net income available to common shareholders

$

621

$

750

$

1,595

$

1,951

 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

($ in millions, except par value data)

September 30,

December 31,

2015

2014

Assets

(unaudited)

Investments:

   Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $56,918 and $59,672)

$

58,257

$

62,440

   Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,123 and $3,692)

4,236

4,104

   Mortgage loans

4,402

4,188

   Limited partnership interests

4,823

4,527

   Short-term, at fair value (amortized cost $3,036 and $2,540)

3,036

2,540

   Other

3,588

3,314

      Total investments

78,342

81,113

Cash

905

657

Premium installment receivables, net

5,711

5,465

Deferred policy acquisition costs

3,811

3,525

Reinsurance recoverables, net

8,468

8,490

Accrued investment income

575

591

Property and equipment, net

1,050

1,031

Goodwill

1,219

1,219

Other assets

2,091

2,046

Separate Accounts

3,677

4,396

           Total assets

$

105,849

$

108,533

Liabilities

Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

$

23,757

$

22,923

Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits

12,229

12,380

Contractholder funds

21,559

22,529

Unearned premiums

12,343

11,655

Claim payments outstanding

804

784

Deferred income taxes

243

715

Other liabilities and accrued expenses

5,558

5,653

Long-term debt

5,175

5,194

Separate Accounts

3,677

4,396

           Total liabilities

85,345

86,229

Equity

Preferred stock and additional capital paid-in, $1 par value, 72.2 thousand    shares issued and outstanding, $1,805 aggregate liquidation preference

1,746

1,746

Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion authorized and 900 million issued,    390 million and 418 million shares outstanding

9

9

Additional capital paid-in

3,224

3,199

Retained income

39,068

37,842

Deferred ESOP expense

(23)

(23)

Treasury stock, at cost (510 million and 482 million shares)

(23,058)

(21,030)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

  Unrealized net capital gains and losses:

Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities with    OTTI

57

72

Other unrealized net capital gains and losses

886

1,988

Unrealized adjustment to DAC, DSI and insurance reserves

(64)

(134)

   Total unrealized net capital gains and losses

879

1,926

  Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments

(52)

(2)

  Unrecognized pension and other postretirement benefit cost

(1,289)

(1,363)

           Total accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income

(462)

561

           Total shareholders' equity

20,504

22,304

           Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$

105,849

$

108,533

 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

($ in millions)

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

Cash flows from operating activities

(unaudited)

Net income

$

1,682

$

2,026

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by

   operating activities:

Depreciation, amortization and other non-cash items

275

277

Realized capital gains and losses

(280)

(588)

Loss on extinguishment of debt

1

(Gain) loss on disposition of operations

(2)

77

Interest credited to contractholder funds

578

717

Changes in:

Policy benefits and other insurance reserves

500

50

Unearned premiums

762

822

Deferred policy acquisition costs

(219)

(189)

Premium installment receivables, net

(290)

(386)

Reinsurance recoverables, net

(133)

(110)

Income taxes

(60)

175

Other operating assets and liabilities

(127)

(307)

Net cash provided by operating activities

2,686

2,565

Cash flows from investing activities

Proceeds from sales

   Fixed income securities

22,796

27,648

   Equity securities

2,688

5,263

   Limited partnership interests

795

1,084

   Mortgage loans

6

10

   Other investments

178

292

Investment collections

   Fixed income securities

3,248

2,787

   Mortgage loans

305

868

   Other investments

254

158

Investment purchases

   Fixed income securities

(22,928)

(30,650)

   Equity securities

(3,238)

(4,208)

   Limited partnership interests

(930)

(892)

   Mortgage loans

(524)

(218)

   Other investments

(743)

(652)

Change in short-term investments, net

(577)

265

Change in other investments, net

(16)

58

Purchases of property and equipment, net

(219)

(207)

Disposition of operations

378

Net cash provided by investing activities

1,095

1,984

Cash flows from financing activities

Repayment of long-term debt

(20)

(1,006)

Proceeds from issuance of preferred stock

965

Contractholder fund deposits

784

926

Contractholder fund withdrawals

(1,793)

(2,831)

Dividends paid on common stock

(365)

(360)

Dividends paid on preferred stock

(87)

(56)

Treasury stock purchases

(2,216)

(2,189)

Shares reissued under equity incentive plans, net

121

204

Excess tax benefits on share-based payment arrangements

44

22

Other

(1)

(14)

Net cash used in financing activities

(3,533)

(4,339)

Net increase in cash

248

210

Cash at beginning of period

657

675

Cash at end of period

$

905

$

885

Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures

We believe that investors' understanding of Allstate's performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP measures. Our methods for calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income available to common shareholders, excluding:

  • realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,
  • valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,
  • amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) and deferred sales inducements (DSI), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses or valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,
  • amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax,
  • gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax, and
  • adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

Net income available to common shareholders is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income as an important measure to evaluate our results of operations. We believe that the measure provides investors with a valuable measure of the company's ongoing performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, amortization of purchased intangible assets, gain (loss) on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items. Realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged and gain (loss) on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Consistent with our intent to protect results or earn additional income, operating income includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes. These instruments are used for economic hedges and to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments. Amortization of purchased intangible assets is excluded because it relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Accordingly, operating income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business. A byproduct of excluding these items to determine operating income is the transparency and understanding of their significance to net income variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. Operating income is used by management along with the other components of net income available to common shareholders to assess our performance. We use adjusted measures of operating income in incentive compensation.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate net income available to common shareholders, operating income and their components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management's performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered a substitute for net income available to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile operating income and net income available to common shareholders.

($ in millions, except per share data)

For the three months ended September 30,

Property-Liability

Allstate Financial

Consolidated

Per diluted common share

2015

2014

2015

2014

2015

2014

2015

2014

Operating income

$

550

$

553

$

138

$

125

$

610

$

598

$

1.52

$

1.39

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

(104)

173

125

19

21

192

0.05

0.45

Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are    not hedged, after-tax

(2)

2

(2)

2

(0.01)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital    gains and losses and valuation changes on    embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

(1)

(3)

(1)

(3)

(0.01)

Amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax

(8)

(11)

(8)

(11)

(0.02)

(0.03)

(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax

(1)

(1)

2

(27)

1

(28)

(0.06)

Net income available to common shareholders

$

437

$

714

$

262

$

116

$

621

$

750

$

1.54

$

1.74

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

For the nine months ended September 30,

Property-Liability

Allstate Financial

Consolidated

Per diluted common share

2015

2014

2015

2014

2015

2014

2015

2014

Operating income

$

1,303

$

1,385

$

411

$

479

$

1,488

$

1,631

$

3.61

$

3.69

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

(55)

368

235

13

180

381

0.44

0.86

Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are   not hedged, after-tax

(3)

(12)

(3)

(12)

(0.01)

(0.03)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital   gains and losses and valuation changes on   embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

(3)

(3)

(3)

(3)

(0.01)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals   on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

1

4

1

1

5

0.01

Amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax

(24)

(33)

(24)

(33)

(0.05)

(0.07)

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

37

1

(55)

1

(18)

(0.04)

Change in accounting for investments in qualified    affordable housing projects, after-tax

(28)

(17)

(45)

(0.11)

Net income available to common shareholders

$

1,197

$

1,761

$

624

$

423

$

1,595

$

1,951

$

3.87

$

4.42

Operating income return on common shareholders' equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of common shareholders' equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-months, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses. Return on common shareholders' equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. We use operating income as the numerator for the same reasons we use operating income, as discussed above. We use average common shareholders' equity excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses for the denominator as a representation of common shareholders' equity primarily attributable to the company's earned and realized business operations because it eliminates the effect of items that are unrealized and vary significantly between periods due to external economic developments such as capital market conditions like changes in equity prices and interest rates, the amount and timing of which are unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income available to common shareholders and return on common shareholders' equity because it excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period. We believe that this measure is useful to investors and that it provides a valuable tool for investors when considered along with return on common shareholders' equity because it eliminates the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized net capital gains and losses that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management. In addition, it eliminates non-recurring items that are not indicative of our ongoing business or economic trends. A byproduct of excluding the items noted above to determine operating income return on common shareholders' equity from return on common shareholders' equity is the transparency and understanding of their significance to return on common shareholders' equity variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. We use adjusted measures of operating income return on common shareholders' equity in incentive compensation. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to have operating income return on common shareholders' equity and return on common shareholders' equity when evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income return on common shareholders' equity results in their evaluation of our and our industry's financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management's utilization of capital. Operating income return on common shareholders' equity should not be considered a substitute for return on common shareholders' equity and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile return on common shareholders' equity and operating income return on common shareholders' equity.

($ in millions)

For the twelve months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

Return on common shareholders' equity

Numerator:

   Net income available to common shareholders

$

2,390

$

2,761

Denominator:

   Beginning common shareholders' equity (1)

$

20,583

$

20,130

   Ending common shareholders' equity (1)

18,758

20,583

   Average common shareholders' equity

$

19,671

$

20,357

    Return on common shareholders' equity

12.2

%

13.6

%

For the twelve months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

Operating income return on common shareholders' equity

Numerator:

   Operating income

$

2,224

$

2,412

Denominator:

   Beginning common shareholders' equity

$

20,583

$

20,130

   Unrealized net capital gains and losses

1,827

1,714

   Adjusted beginning common shareholders' equity

18,756

18,416

   Ending common shareholders' equity

18,758

20,583

   Unrealized net capital gains and losses

879

1,827

   Adjusted ending common shareholders' equity

17,879

18,756

   Average adjusted common shareholders' equity

$

18,318

$

18,586

    Operating income return on common shareholders' equity

12.1

%

13.0

%

_____________

(1)

Excludes equity related to preferred stock of $1,746 million as of September 30, 2015 and 2014.

Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense ("losses"), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of the results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net income available to common shareholders is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income should not be considered a substitute for net income available to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income to net income available to common shareholders is provided in the "Business Results" page.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets ("underlying combined ratio") is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between four GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio, the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio, and the effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets on the combined ratio. We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets. Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio. Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves. Amortization of purchased intangible assets relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance. We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the underlying combined ratio. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio. The underlying combined ratio should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.

The following table reconciles the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year    reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible    assets ("underlying combined ratio")

89.3

86.1

89.1

86.4

Effect of catastrophe losses

3.5

7.1

6.0

8.8

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

0.6

0.1

0.5

(0.2)

Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

Combined ratio

93.6

93.5

95.8

95.2

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

0.2

Underwriting margin is calculated as 100% minus the combined ratio.

In this news release, we provide our outlook range on the Property-Liability 2015 underlying combined ratio. A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes. Future prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Underlying combined ratio

88.3

84.2

87.8

84.5

Effect of catastrophe losses

3.6

6.9

6.1

8.8

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.1)

(1.3)

0.3

(0.7)

Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets

Combined ratio

91.8

89.8

94.2

92.6

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.1)

0.2

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand auto underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand auto combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Underlying combined ratio

98.1

92.9

97.2

92.8

Effect of catastrophe losses

0.5

1.8

1.3

2.1

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

0.2

(1.6)

0.5

(0.9)

Combined ratio

98.8

93.1

99.0

94.0

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.1)

(0.2)

(0.1)

(0.2)

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand homeowners underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand homeowners combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Underlying combined ratio

60.9

60.0

62.0

62.0

Effect of catastrophe losses

12.4

22.0

19.5

27.3

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.8)

(0.8)

(0.4)

(0.3)

Combined ratio

72.5

81.2

81.1

89.0

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.1)

0.7

0.2

1.2

 

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand other personal lines underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand other personal lines combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Underlying combined ratio

82.1

77.6

81.1

79.1

Effect of catastrophe losses

4.5

4.9

8.0

10.0

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

1.8

2.8

0.8

1.3

Combined ratio

88.4

85.3

89.9

90.4

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

(0.2)

(0.3)

The following table reconciles the Encompass brand underlying combined ratio to the Encompass brand combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Underlying combined ratio

90.9

95.6

92.7

94.1

Effect of catastrophe losses

5.3

16.4

10.0

17.1

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

5.1

(2.3)

1.5

(0.7)

Combined ratio

101.3

109.7

104.2

110.5

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

0.3

0.4

(0.1)

0.2

Underlying loss ratio is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between three GAAP operating ratios: the loss ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio and the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends that may be obscured by catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.  Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio.  Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves.  We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the loss ratio. The underlying loss ratio should not be considered a substitute for the loss ratio and does not reflect the overall loss ratio of our business.

The following table reconciles the Esurance brand underlying loss ratio and underlying combined ratio to the Esurance brand combined ratio.

Three months ended

September 30,

Nine months ended

September 30,

2015

2014

2015

2014

Underlying loss ratio

73.5

75.3

75.3

75.2

Expense ratio, excluding the effect of amortization of purchased    intangible assets

31.8

37.0

34.1

39.3

Underlying combined ratio

105.3

112.3

109.4

114.5

Effect of catastrophe losses

0.8

1.9

0.9

1.7

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

(1.6)

(0.8)

(1.1)

(1.0)

Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets

2.0

3.2

2.2

3.3

Combined ratio

106.5

116.6

111.4

118.5

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing common shareholders' equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities and related DAC, DSI and life insurance reserves by total common shares outstanding plus dilutive potential common shares outstanding. We use the trend in book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in conjunction with book value per common share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods. We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique. Book value per common share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, should not be considered a substitute for book value per common share, and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The following table shows the reconciliation.

($ in millions, except per share data)

As of September 30,

2015

2014

Book value per common share

Numerator:

  Common shareholders' equity

$

18,758

$

20,583

Denominator:

Common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares    outstanding

394.6

426.3

Book value per common share

$

47.54

$

48.28

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized    net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

Numerator:

  Common shareholders' equity

$

18,758

$

20,583

  Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

807

1,541

Adjusted common shareholders' equity

$

17,951

$

19,042

Denominator:

Common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares    outstanding

394.6

426.3

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net      capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

$

45.49

$

44.67

 

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SOURCE The Allstate Corporation



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