Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2013 Results

Feb 05, 2014, 16:00 ET from Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINCINNATI, Feb. 5, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

  • Fourth-quarter 2013 net income of $122 million, or 74 cents per share, compared with $192 million, or $1.17 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2012.
  • Full-year 2013 net income of $517 million, or $3.12 per share, up 23 percent from $421 million, or $2.57, in 2012. Operating income of $463 million, or $2.80 per share, up 18 percent from $393 million, or $2.40 per share.
  • $70 million decrease in fourth-quarter 2013 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of two primary items: $65 million decrease in the contribution from property casualty underwriting - primarily due to less benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development – and a $6 million decrease from net realized investment gains.
  • $37.21 book value per share at December 31, 2013, up 11.1 percent from December 31, 2012.
  • 16.1 percent value creation ratio for full-year 2013, compared with 12.6 percent for 2012.

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Financial Highlights

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Revenue Data

   Earned premiums

$

1,025

$

917

12

$

3,902

$

3,522

11

   Investment income, pretax

137

136

1

529

531

0

   Total revenues

1,172

1,070

10

4,531

4,111

10

Income Statement Data

   Net income

$

122

$

192

(36)

$

517

$

421

23

   Net realized investment gains and losses

3

9

(67)

54

28

93

   Operating income*

$

119

$

183

(35)

$

463

$

393

18

Per Share Data (diluted)

   Net income

$

0.74

$

1.17

(37)

$

3.12

$

2.57

21

   Net realized investment gains and losses

0.02

0.06

(67)

0.32

0.17

88

   Operating income*

$

0.72

$

1.11

(35)

$

2.80

$

2.40

17

   Book value

$

37.21

$

33.48

11

   Cash dividend declared

$

0.42

$

0.4075

3

$

1.655

$

1.62

2

   Weighted average shares outstanding

165.7

164.2

1

165.4

163.7

1

*

The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on U. S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.

**   

Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company's safe harbor statement.

 

Insurance Operations Fourth-Quarter Highlights

  • 93.9 percent fourth-quarter 2013 property casualty combined ratio, up from 81.9 percent for fourth-quarter 2012. Full-year 2013 property casualty combined ratio at 93.8%, with a 12 percent increase in net written premiums.
  • 8 percent increase in fourth-quarter net written premiums, reflecting higher pricing and growth initiatives.
  • $128 million fourth-quarter 2013 property casualty new business written premiums. Agencies appointed since the beginning of 2012 contributed $15 million or 12 percent to total fourth-quarter new business written premiums.
  • 6 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to fourth-quarter results, up 1 cent from 2012.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

  • 1 percent or $1 million rise in fourth-quarter 2013 pretax investment income, including a 3 percent increase in stock portfolio dividends.
  • 8 percent full-year rise in fair value of invested assets plus cash at December 31, 2013, including a 28 percent increase for the stock portfolio and a 1 percent increase for the bond portfolio.
  • $1.532 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at year-end 2013, up 33 percent from a year ago.

Achieving Planned Results      Steven J. Johnston, president and chief executive officer, commented: "Steady growth and improved core underwriting profitability of our insurance business contributed to full-year operating income of $463 million, our best result since 2007. Consolidated direct written premiums passed the $4.3 billion mark, on a pace to reach $5 billion by the end of 2015.

"Our long-term investment approach again produced satisfactory results. Pretax investment income rose to $137 million for the quarter, up slightly from last year's fourth quarter when we benefited from dividend acceleration."

Focusing on Underwriting Profitability "Our ongoing initiatives to improve property casualty underwriting gained momentum in 2013, assisted by lower-than-average catastrophe losses. Our fourth-quarter and full-year combined ratios both came in at below 94 percent, a healthy result. While we continue to follow our consistent and prudent reserving approach, this quarter didn't have the benefit we had in last year's fourth quarter from high favorable development of reserves. Core underwriting improved substantially, as indicated by 4.0 percentage points of ratio improvement for full-year 2013 loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and reserve development for prior accident years.

"Double-digit growth of renewal premiums led the way to strong net written premium growth in 2013, and our agents provided another record year of new business. We successfully maintained commercial lines price increases averaging in the mid-single-digit range in the fourth-quarter and throughout 2013. Use of data analytics and modeling continue to increase our pricing precision and our confidence that we know the appropriate price for each piece of business when competing for accounts. We also have an advantage in our three-year commercial package policy, which reduces administrative burdens for agents and policyholders and supports stable commercial lines pricing.

"Our personal lines operation continues to make progress, producing a satisfactory 96.8 percent 2013 combined ratio. We are seeing benefits roll on from ongoing initiatives to increase our agency representation, geographic diversification and rate adequacy. Personal lines earned premiums in our smaller premium volume states, including several we've targeted for growth due to less catastrophe exposure, in aggregate rose 17 percent for the year, compared with a 6 percent increase in our four highest volume states."

Maintaining Our Momentum "The positive results we're seeing now reflect diligent execution of deliberate growth and profitability strategies, and we expect further benefits to accrue over time.

"Looking out to the future, we have invested in associates with specialized knowledge in loss control and claims management, launching a robust program of property inspections. This effort benefits policyholders by identifying opportunities to prevent losses, while also identifying risk characteristics that increase the accuracy of our pricing matrix. We are ramping up inspections and internal expertise again in 2014.

"Using the same proven approach that improved results in our workers' compensation and property lines of business in 2012 and 2013, multi-departmental task forces are taking a deep dive into areas where there is room to realize additional benefits. These initiatives have a long runway, and we believe they'll strengthen our future performance."

Confidence in the Future "Our $13.5 billion investment portfolio, with over 30 percent in stocks, is also well positioned to perform over the long term. In 2013, the portfolio's fair value rose 8 percent, with pretax unrealized gains rising 25 percent to $2.3 billion. Our value creation ratio of 16.1 percent outpaced our target range of averaging 10 to 13 percent over any five-year period. Working together, we are executing on our plans to deliver a great insurance experience to agents and policyholders and to deliver solid rewards for our shareholders, such as the 11 percent rise in book value during 2013 to $37.21 and dividend payments that have increased annually for 53 consecutive years."

 

Insurance Operations Highlights

Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Earned premiums

$

960

$

869

10

$

3,713

$

3,344

11

Fee revenues

1

2

(50)

4

6

(33)

   Total revenues

961

871

10

3,717

3,350

11

Loss and loss expenses

601

433

39

2,301

2,137

8

Underwriting expenses

300

278

8

1,183

1,076

10

   Underwriting profit

$

60

$

160

(63)

$

233

$

137

70

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Loss and loss expenses

62.6

%

49.9

%

12.7

61.9

%

63.9

%

(2.0)

   Underwriting expenses

31.3

32.0

(0.7)

31.9

32.2

(0.3)

      Combined ratio

93.9

%

81.9

%

12.0

93.8

%

96.1

%

(2.3)

% Change

% Change

Agency renewal written premiums

$

854

$

771

11

$

3,493

$

3,138

11

Agency new business written premiums

128

132

(3)

543

501

8

Other written premiums

(74)

(66)

(12)

(143)

(157)

9

   Net written premiums

$

908

$

837

8

$

3,893

$

3,482

12

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Current accident year before catastrophe losses

59.9

%

59.0

%

0.9

60.6

%

64.6

%

(4.0)

   Current accident year catastrophe losses

3.5

3.4

0.1

5.4

11.1

(5.7)

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(0.5)

(12.5)

12.0

(3.3)

(10.7)

7.4

   Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(0.3)

0.0

(0.3)

(0.8)

(1.1)

0.3

      Loss and loss expense ratio

62.6

%

49.9

%

12.7

61.9

%

63.9

%

(2.0)

Current accident year combined ratio before

catastrophe losses

91.2

%

91.0

%

0.2

92.5

%

96.8

%

(4.3)

 

  • 8 percent and 12 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 property casualty net written premiums. Full‑year renewal written premiums increase of 11 percent reflects higher pricing and premium growth initiatives.
  • $42 million increase to a record high $543 million in 2013 new business written by agencies. $31 million of the increase was from standard market property casualty new business produced by agencies appointed since the beginning of 2012 and $7 million from appointments before that, in addition to $4 million from excess and surplus lines.
  • 1,450 agency relationships in 1,823 reporting locations marketing standard market property casualty insurance products at December 31, 2013, compared with 1,408 agency relationships in 1,758 reporting locations at year‑end 2012. During 2013, 96 new agency appointments were made.
  • 12.0 percentage-point rise in fourth-quarter 2013 combined ratio, reflecting an 11.5 point difference between estimates of incurred but not reported (IBNR) losses and loss expenses for the two time periods.
  • 2.3 percentage-point full-year combined ratio improvement. Benefits from natural catastrophe losses that were 5.4 points lower, better pricing and other underwriting and loss cost management efforts were partially offset by a 4.7 percentage-point increase from higher estimates of IBNR for noncatastrophe losses and loss expenses.
  • 4.0 percentage-point improvement, to 60.6 percent, for full-year ratio of 2013 accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes.
  • 0.8 and 4.1 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $8 million and $148 million, compared with 12.5 points and 11.8 points from $109 million and $396 million of development for the same periods of 2012. The lower fourth-quarter and full-year favorable reserve development was primarily due to higher estimates of IBNR losses and loss expenses in longer-tail lines of business.
  • Slightly lower fourth-quarter and full-year underwriting expense ratios, largely reflecting expense management efforts and higher earned premiums. 

 

Commercial Lines Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Earned premiums

$

680

$

618

10

$

2,636

$

2,383

11

Fee revenues

1

2

(50)

3

4

(25)

   Total revenues

681

620

10

2,639

2,387

11

Loss and loss expenses

411

307

34

1,596

1,420

12

Underwriting expenses

219

206

6

857

786

9

   Underwriting profit

$

51

$

107

(52)

$

186

$

181

3

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Loss and loss expenses

60.4

%

49.7

%

10.7

60.5

%

59.5

%

1.0

   Underwriting expenses

32.3

33.2

(0.9)

32.5

33.0

(0.5)

      Combined ratio

92.7

%

82.9

%

9.8

93.0

%

92.5

%

0.5

% Change

% Change

Agency renewal written premiums

$

606

$

549

10

$

2,471

$

2,229

11

Agency new business written premiums

92

96

(4)

391

352

11

Other written premiums

(63)

(57)

(11)

(102)

(122)

16

   Net written premiums

$

635

$

588

8

$

2,760

$

2,459

12

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Current accident year before catastrophe losses

58.8

%

59.1

%

(0.3)

59.8

%

62.9

%

(3.1)

   Current accident year catastrophe losses

2.3

3.0

(0.7)

4.3

8.9

(4.6)

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(0.1)

(12.5)

12.4

(3.0)

(11.6)

8.6

   Prior accident years catastrophe losses

(0.6)

0.1

(0.7)

(0.6)

(0.7)

0.1

      Loss and loss expense ratio

60.4

%

49.7

%

10.7

60.5

%

59.5

%

1.0

Current accident year combined ratio before

catastrophe losses

91.1

%

92.3

%

(1.2)

92.3

%

95.9

%

(3.6)

 

  • 8 percent and 12 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 commercial lines net written premiums, primarily due to higher renewal written premiums that reflect higher pricing and the effect of premium growth initiatives.
  • $57 million and $242 million increase in fourth-quarter and full-year renewal written premiums, reflecting fourth‑quarter and full-year 2013 commercial lines pricing changes that increased on average in a mid-single-digit range in addition to rising insured exposures.
  • $39 million rise in full-year new business written by agencies, reflecting recent-year growth initiatives, with double‑digit growth in 17 of the 39 states where we offer standard market commercial lines policies.
  • 9.8 percentage-point rise in fourth-quarter 2013 combined ratio, reflecting an 8.5 point increase from higher estimates of IBNR losses and loss expenses.
  • 0.5 percentage-point rise in full-year combined ratio, as a 4.5 point improvement from lower natural catastrophe losses was offset by a 6.4 point increase from higher estimates of IBNR for noncatastrophe losses and loss expenses.
  • 3.1 percentage-point improvement, to 59.8 percent, for full-year ratio of 2013 accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes. Better pricing and ongoing effects from other recent-year claims and loss control initiatives drove the improvement.
  • 0.7 and 3.6 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $5 million and $96 million, compared with 12.4 points and 12.3 points from $76 million and $292 million of development for the same periods of 2012.

 

Personal Lines Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Earned premiums

$

249

$

226

10

$

961

$

868

11

Fee revenues

nm

1

2

(50)

   Total revenues

249

226

10

962

870

11

Loss and loss expenses

177

116

53

639

652

(2)

Underwriting expenses

72

64

13

290

261

11

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

0

$

46

nm

$

33

$

(43)

nm

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Loss and loss expenses

71.4

%

51.5

%

19.9

66.6

%

75.2

%

(8.6)

   Underwriting expenses

28.9

28.5

0.4

30.2

30.1

0.1

      Combined ratio

100.3

%

80.0

%

20.3

96.8

%

105.3

%

(8.5)

% Change

% Change

Agency renewal written premiums

$

224

$

203

10

$

928

$

836

11

Agency new business written premiums

24

27

(11)

110

111

(1)

Other written premiums

(9)

(8)

(13)

(33)

(29)

(14)

   Net written premiums

$

239

$

222

8

$

1,005

$

918

9

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Current accident year before catastrophe losses

62.6

%

59.4

%

3.2

61.9

%

68.2

%

(6.3)

   Current accident year catastrophe losses

7.4

4.6

2.8

8.8

18.4

(9.6)

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

1.1

(12.3)

13.4

(3.0)

(8.9)

5.9

   Prior accident years catastrophe losses

0.3

(0.2)

0.5

(1.1)

(2.5)

1.4

      Loss and loss expense ratio

71.4

%

51.5

%

19.9

66.6

%

75.2

%

(8.6)

Current accident year combined ratio before

catastrophe losses

91.5

%

87.9

%

3.6

92.1

%

98.3

%

(6.2)

 

  • 8 percent and 9 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 personal lines net written premiums, driven by increases in renewal written premiums.
  • 6 percent increase in full-year 2013 earned premiums in aggregate from our four highest volume states where we offer personal lines policies, while rising 17 percent for all other states in aggregate as we progress toward geographic diversification.
  • 1 percent reduction in full-year 2013 new business written premium, declining as expected due to underwriting actions such as expanded use of higher deductibles and actual cash value loss settlement for older roofs. 
  • 20.3 percentage-point rise in fourth-quarter 2013 combined ratio, reflecting a 19.0 point increase from higher estimates of IBNR losses and loss expenses.
  • 8.5 percentage-point full-year combined ratio improvement, including 8.2 points from lower natural catastrophe losses.
  • 6.3 percentage-point improvement, to 61.9 percent, for full-year ratio of 2013 accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, reflecting better pricing and ongoing effects from other recent-year initiatives, in addition to a 2.1 point reduction in the ratio for new losses of $250,000 or more per claim.
  • 1.4 percentage-point fourth-quarter unfavorable effect from prior accident year reserve development of $3 million, driven by loss expenses, compared with 12.5 points from $29 million of favorable development for the fourth quarter of 2012. 4.1 percentage-point full-year 2013 benefit from favorable development of $39 million, compared with 11.4 points from $99 million of development for 2012, as 2013 ratios were higher for both IBNR and case‑basis experience for individual claims. 

 

Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Earned premiums

$

31

$

25

24

$

116

$

93

25

Loss and loss expenses

13

10

30

66

65

2

Underwriting expenses

9

8

13

36

29

24

   Underwriting profit (loss)

$

9

$

7

29

$

14

$

(1)

nm

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Loss and loss expenses

41.0

%

38.2

%

2.8

56.7

%

69.4

%

(12.7)

   Underwriting expenses

29.4

33.3

(3.9)

31.1

31.6

(0.5)

      Combined ratio

70.4

%

71.5

%

(1.1)

87.8

%

101.0

%

(13.2)

% Change

% Change

Agency renewal written premiums

$

24

$

19

26

$

94

$

73

29

Agency new business written premiums

12

9

33

42

38

11

Other written premiums

(2)

(1)

(100)

(8)

(6)

(33)

   Net written premiums

$

34

$

27

26

$

128

$

105

22

Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:

Pt. Change

Pt. Change

   Current accident year before catastrophe losses

62.6

%

52.3

%

10.3

67.1

%

72.8

%

(5.7)

   Current accident year catastrophe losses

(1.9)

1.4

(3.3)

0.7

2.1

(1.4)

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(19.9)

(15.3)

(4.6)

(11.2)

(5.6)

(5.6)

   Prior accident years catastrophe losses

0.2

(0.2)

0.4

0.1

0.1

0.0

      Loss and loss expense ratio

41.0

%

38.2

%

2.8

56.7

%

69.4

%

(12.7)

Current accident year combined ratio before

catastrophe losses

92.0

%

85.6

%

6.4

98.2

%

104.4

%

(6.2)

 

  • 26 percent and 22 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2013 excess and surplus lines net written premiums, largely due to the opportunity to renew many accounts for the first time. Also contributing to growth were average full-year renewal price increases in a high-single-digit range.
  • 11 percent increase in full-year 2013 new business written premiums, reflecting the benefit of additional excess and surplus lines field marketing representatives.
  • 13.2 percentage-point combined ratio improvement for full-year 2013, largely due to lower current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and a larger benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development.
  • 5.7 percentage-point improvement, to 67.1 percent, for full-year ratio of 2013 accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including a 3.3 point reduction in the 2013 ratio for new losses of $250,000 or more per claim.

 

Life Insurance Operations

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Term life insurance

$

30

$

29

3

$

122

$

115

6

Universal life insurance

27

12

125

35

34

3

Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income

products

8

7

14

32

29

10

   Earned premiums

65

48

35

189

178

6

Investment income, net of expenses

36

35

3

140

138

1

Other income

1

nm

4

1

300

   Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains

   and losses

102

83

23

333

317

5

Contract holders' benefits

63

49

29

204

185

10

Operating expenses incurred

24

20

20

60

79

(24)

   Total benefits and expenses

87

69

26

264

264

0

Net income before income tax and realized

investment gains and losses

15

14

7

69

53

30

Income tax

6

5

20

25

19

32

Net income before realized investment gains

and losses

$

9

$

9

0

$

44

$

34

29

 

  • $11 million or 6 percent increase in full-year 2013 earned premiums, including a 6 percent increase for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. Fourth-quarter 2013 universal life insurance premiums rose due to unlocking of actuarial assumptions that increased the amortization of unearned front-end loads, with a corresponding increase to operating expenses as less expenses were deferred to future periods.
  • $11 million decline to $38 million in full-year 2013 fixed annuity deposits received, slowing as planned. Cincinnati Life does not offer variable or indexed products.
  • $10 million increase in full-year 2013 profit, primarily due to more favorable mortality experience and lower operating expenses as first-quarter 2012 included an actuarial adjustment that decreased reinsurance-related expenses deferred to future periods.
  • $24 million or 3 percent full-year 2013 decline to $833 million in GAAP shareholders' equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company, reflecting a decrease in fair value of the fixed-maturity portfolio due to a rise in interest rates.

 

Investment Operations Highlights

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

% Change

2013

2012

% Change

Total investment income, net of expenses, pretax

$

137

$

136

1

$

529

$

531

0

Investment interest credited to contract holders

(20)

(20)

0

(80)

(82)

2

Realized investment gains and losses summary:

   Realized investment gains and losses

4

14

(71)

82

74

11

   Change in fair value of securities with embedded

   derivatives

2

nm

3

1

200

   Other-than-temporary impairment charges

(1)

100

(2)

(33)

94

      Total realized investment gains and losses

6

13

(54)

83

42

98

Investment operations profit

$

123

$

129

(5)

$

532

$

491

8

Investment income:

   Interest

$

104

$

103

1

$

413

$

420

(2)

   Dividends

35

34

3

122

115

6

   Other

1

nm

3

3

0

   Investment expenses

(3)

(1)

(200)

(9)

(7)

29

      Total investment income, net of expenses, pretax

137

136

1

529

531

0

      Income taxes

(33)

(33)

0

(128)

(129)

1

      Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax

$

104

$

103

1

$

401

$

402

0

      Effective tax rate

23.9

%

23.7

%

24.1

%

24.2

%

      Average invested assets plus cash and cash 

      equivalents

$

13,290

$

12,108

$

12,833

$

11,847

      Average yield pretax

4.12

%

4.49

%

4.12

%

4.48

%

      Average yield after-tax

3.13

3.40

3.12

3.39

   Effective fixed-maturity tax rate

27.2

26.9

27.1

26.9

   Average fixed-maturity at amortized cost

$

8,595

$

8,228

$

8,455

$

8,153

   Average fixed-maturity yield pretax

4.84

%

5.01

%

4.88

%

5.15

%

   Average fixed-maturity yield after-tax

3.52

3.66

3.56

3.77

 

  • 1 percent rise in fourth-quarter 2013 investment income, as continued dividend growth was accompanied by modest interest income growth. 4.12 percent fourth-quarter 2013 pretax average yield matched third-quarter 2013. 
  • $460 million or 25 percent full-year 2013 net increase in pretax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including an $849 million increase for the equity portfolio. $76 million of pretax net realized gains were from investment portfolio security sales or called bonds during 2013, including $64 million from the equity portfolio.

 

Balance Sheet Highlights

(In millions except per share data)

At December 31,

At December 31,

2013

2012

Balance sheet data:

   Invested assets

$

13,564

$

12,534

   Total assets

17,662

16,548

   Short-term debt

104

104

   Long-term debt

790

790

   Shareholders' equity

6,070

5,453

   Book value per share

37.21

33.48

   Debt-to-total-capital ratio

12.8

%

14.1

%

 

  • $13.997 billion in consolidated cash and invested assets at December 31, 2013, up 7 percent from $13.021 billion at year-end 2012.
  • 1 million shares repurchased during the fourth quarter of 2013, at an average cost of $52.13.
  • $9.169 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2013, with an average rating of A2/A. Fair value increased $131 million or 1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2013.
  • $4.327 billion equity portfolio was 31.9 percent of invested assets, including $1.854 billion in pretax net unrealized gains at December 31, 2013. $343 million or 9 percent fourth-quarter 2013 growth in fair value.
  • $4.326 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2013, up $412 million from $3.914 billion at year-end 2012, after declaring $375 million in dividends to the parent company. The ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended December 31, 2013, was 0.9-to-1, unchanged from year-end 2012.
  • Value creation ratio of 16.1 percent for full-year 2013 included 8.5 percent from net income before net realized investment gains and 6.4 percent from investment portfolio realized gains and changes in unrealized gains.

For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit cinfin.com/investors.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, fixed annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit cinfin.com.

Mailing Address:

Street Address:

P.O. Box 145496

6200 South Gilmore Road

Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496

Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

Safe Harbor Statement This is our "Safe Harbor" statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2012 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 26.

Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

  • Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
  • Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
  • Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
  • Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
  • Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company's equity portfolio and book value
  • Events resulting in capital market or credit market uncertainty, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
    • Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
    • Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
    • Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions or other insured entities
  • Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company's ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
  • Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company's premium volume
  • Delays or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods or technology projects and enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
  • Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
  • Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for nonpayment or delay in payment by reinsurers
  • Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including cyber attacks, that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others
  • Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
  • Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company's relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company's opportunities for growth, such as:
    • Downgrades of the company's financial strength ratings
    • Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
    • Perceptions that the company's level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
  • Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
    • Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
    • Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
    • Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
    • Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
    • Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law
    • Increase our other expenses
    • Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
    • Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
    • Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
  • Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
  • Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company's future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
  • Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
  • Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location

Further, the company's insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.

* * *

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

(In millions except per share data)

December 31,

December 31,

2013

2012

ASSETS

   Investments

      Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2013—$8,688; 2012—$8,222)

$

9,169

$

9,093

      Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2013—$2,473; 2012—$2,369)

4,327

3,373

      Other invested assets

68

68

         Total investments

13,564

12,534

   Cash and cash equivalents

433

487

   Investment income receivable

121

115

   Finance receivable

85

75

   Premiums receivable

1,346

1,214

   Reinsurance recoverable

547

615

   Prepaid reinsurance premiums

26

26

   Deferred policy acquisition costs

565

470

   Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:

      2013—$420; 2012—$397)

210

217

   Other assets

73

61

   Separate accounts

692

734

      Total assets

$

17,662

$

16,548

LIABILITIES

   Insurance reserves

      Loss and loss expense reserves

$

4,311

$

4,230

      Life policy and investment contract reserves

2,390

2,295

   Unearned premiums

1,976

1,792

   Other liabilities

611

660

   Deferred income tax

673

453

   Note payable

104

104

   Long-term debt and capital lease obligations

835

827

   Separate accounts

692

734

      Total liabilities

11,592

11,095

SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

   Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2013 and 2012—500 million shares;

   issued and outstanding: 2013—198 million shares, 2012—197 million shares)

397

394

Paid-in capital

1,191

1,134

Retained earnings

4,268

4,021

Accumulated other comprehensive income

1,504

1,129

Treasury stock at cost (2013—35 million shares and 2012—34 million shares)

(1,290)

(1,225)

Total shareholders' equity

6,070

5,453

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$

17,662

$

16,548

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

2013

2012

REVENUES

   Earned premiums

$

1,025

$

917

$

3,902

$

3,522

   Investment income, net of expenses

137

136

529

531

   Realized investment gains and losses, net

6

13

83

42

   Fee revenues

2

3

8

7

   Other revenues

2

1

9

9

      Total revenues

1,172

1,070

4,531

4,111

BENEFITS AND EXPENSES

   Insurance losses and policyholder benefits

664

482

2,505

2,322

   Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses

324

298

1,243

1,155

   Interest expense

14

13

54

54

   Other operating expenses

3

4

15

14

      Total benefits and expenses

1,005

797

3,817

3,545

INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES

167

273

714

566

PROVISION FOR INCOME TAXES

   Current

41

59

178

119

   Deferred

4

22

19

26

      Total provision for income taxes

45

81

197

145

NET INCOME

$

122

$

192

$

517

$

421

PER COMMON SHARE:

   Net income—basic

$

0.75

$

1.18

$

3.16

$

2.59

   Net income—diluted

0.74

1.17

3.12

2.57

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures (See attached tables for 2013 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at cinfin.com/investors.)

Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.

Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management's control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.

  • Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company's insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management's discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period. For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
  • Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation that management believes captures the contribution of the company's insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this non-GAAP measure is a useful supplement to GAAP information, providing a meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value. It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting.
  • Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC's Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
  • Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Balance Sheet Reconciliation

(Per share data)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

2013

2012

Book value change per share:

   Book value as originally reported December 31, 2011

$

31.16

   Cumulative effect of a change in accounting for deferred

   policy acquisition costs, net of tax

(0.13)

   Book value as adjusted December 31, 2011

$

31.03

Value creation per share data:

   End of period book value - as originally reported

$

37.21

$

33.48

$

37.21

$

33.48

   Less beginning of period book value - as originally reported

35.51

32.95

33.48

31.16

   Change in book value - as originally reported

1.70

0.53

3.73

2.32

   Dividend declared to shareholders

0.42

0.4075

1.655

1.62

   Total contribution to value creation ratio

$

2.12

$

0.9375

$

5.385

$

3.94

Contribution to value creation ratio:

From change in book value*

4.8

%

1.6

%

11.1

%

7.4

%

From dividends declared to shareholders**

1.2

1.2

5.0

5.2

Value creation ratio

6.0

%

2.8

%

16.1

%

12.6

%

*    Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value as originally reported

**   Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value as originally reported

 

Net Income Reconciliation

(In millions except per share data)

Three months ended December 31,

Twelve months ended December 31,

2013

2012

2013

2012

   Net income

$

122

$

192

$

517

$

421

   Net realized investment gains and losses

3

9

54

28

   Operating income

119

183

463

393

   Less catastrophe losses

(20)

(19)

(112)

(217)

   Operating income before catastrophe losses

$

139

$

202

$

575

$

610

Diluted per share data:

   Net income

$

0.74

$

1.17

$

3.12

$

2.57

   Net realized investment gains and losses

0.02

0.06

0.32

0.17

   Operating income

0.72

1.11

2.80

2.40

   Less catastrophe losses

(0.12)

(0.12)

(0.67)

(1.33)

   Operating income before catastrophe losses

$

0.84

$

1.23

$

3.47

$

3.73

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Property Casualty Operations Reconciliation

(In millions)

Three months ended December 31, 2013

Consolidated

Commercial

Personal

E&S

Premiums:

   Written premiums

$

908

$

635

$

239

$

34

   Unearned premiums change

52

45

10

(3)

   Earned premiums

$

960

$

680

$

249

$

31

Statutory ratios:

   Statutory combined ratio

95.4

%

94.4

%

101.5

%

70.9

%

   Contribution from catastrophe losses

3.2

1.7

7.7

(1.7)

   Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses

92.2

%

92.7

%

93.8

%

72.6

%

   Commission expense ratio

19.5

%

19.1

%

19.5

%

25.9

%

   Other expense ratio

13.3

14.9

10.6

4.0

   Statutory expense ratio

32.8

%

34.0

%

30.1

%

29.9

%

GAAP ratio:

   GAAP combined ratio

93.9

%

92.7

%

100.3

%

70.4

%

   Contribution from catastrophe losses

3.2

1.7

7.7

(1.7)

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(0.5)

(0.1)

1.1

(19.9)

   GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and    prior

   years reserve development

91.2

%

91.1

%

91.5

%

92.0

%

(In millions)

Twelve months ended December 31, 2013

Consolidated

Commercial

Personal

E&S

Premiums:

   Written premiums

$

3,893

$

2,760

$

1,005

$

128

   Unearned premiums change

(180)

(124)

(44)

(12)

   Earned premiums

$

3,713

$

2,636

$

961

$

116

Statutory ratios:

   Statutory combined ratio

92.7

%

91.8

%

96.3

%

87.8

%

   Contribution from catastrophe losses

4.6

3.7

7.7

0.8

   Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses

88.1

%

88.1

%

88.6

%

87.0

%

   Commission expense ratio

18.6

%

17.8

%

19.7

%

26.3

%

   Other expense ratio

12.2

13.5

10.0

4.8

   Statutory expense ratio

30.8

%

31.3

%

29.7

%

31.1

%

GAAP ratio:

   GAAP combined ratio

93.8

%

93.0

%

96.8

%

87.8

%

   Contribution from catastrophe losses

4.6

3.7

7.7

0.8

   Prior accident years before catastrophe losses

(3.3)

(3.0)

(3.0)

(11.2)

   GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior

   years reserve development

92.5

%

92.3

%

92.1

%

98.2

%

 

 

SOURCE Cincinnati Financial Corporation