Mortgage Industry Highs, Lows and Forecast

DALLAS, June 24, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- The mortgage industry suffered some serious blows over the past decade -- with hundreds of firms wiped out and close to half of employees losing their jobs at one point. While some segments have experienced a partial recovery, real estate finance is likely to remain a shell of its former self for the foreseeable future.

Two years before the financial crisis, the mortgage industry began a meltdown. Among early casualties were subprime lenders like Aegis, Ownit and Sebring. Bank failures shot up from zero in 2006 to 157 by 2010.

Mortgage Daily's forecast calls for a continued decline in casualties, though an uptick is eventually expected among default service providers.

Failures/Closings

2012

2010

2006

83

211

32

Prior to 2007, delinquency had been running under 5%. But delinquency turned higher and peaked in 2009, though it has since retreated.

Mortgage Daily predicts that delinquency will trend lower.

30-Day Delinquency*

3/31/13

12/31/09

12/31/06

7.25%

9.47%

4.95%

*source: MBA

Rates fell from as high as 6.80% in 2006 to an all-time low last year.

Mortgage Daily projects rates will continue ascending over the next year.

30-Year Fixed Rates*

As of

Rate

7/20/06

6.80%

11/21/12 (low)

3.31%

6/20/13

3.93%

*source: Freddie

Originations hit an all-time high in 2003. Higher rates have refinances pulling down expected volume.

Originations (trillions)

2014

2013

2012

2003

$1.1

$1.7

$2.0

$3.8

There were over $11 trillion in mortgages outstanding in 2007, though outstandings have faded each year since.

Mortgages Outstanding

(trillions)*

2014

2012

2007

$10.1

$9.9

$11.1

*source: Fannie

Mortgage employment was nearly 500,000 at the end of 2006 then took a sharp turn down in 2007. A moderate recovery has since pushed the total up.

While home purchases are likely to drive up demand for employees, declining refinances will more than offset those gains. In addition, as delinquency retreats, servicers will eliminate jobs.

Mortgage Daily predicts a decline in staffing over the next year.

Mortgage Jobs

30-Apr

2006

292,800

496,300

source: DOL

Full Report:
http://www.MortgageDaily.com/IndustryChange062413.asp?spcode=pr

About Mortgage Daily
Founded in 1998 by 20-year mortgage industry veteran Sam Garcia, Mortgage Daily is a leading source of mortgage news and mortgage statistics. Mortgage Daily publishes the Mortgage Market Index, Mortgage Litigation Index, Mortgage Employment Index and Mortgage Fraud Index. Online at www.MortgageDaily.com.

CONTACT:
Holly Himelright
214.521.1300
journalists request complimentary full report:
newsalert@MortgageDaily.com

SOURCE Mortgage Daily



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