For this initiative, MFC is using custom FICO Economic Impact Service models to study how the credit risk at different credit score bands would change under different economic scenarios. The FICO models apply this analysis to both MFC's custom origination and behavior models and the EMPIRICA® credit risk score at TransUnion, all developed by FICO. MFC are also using FICO's "grade migration" methodology to explore how current customers' credit risk scores would change under these scenarios as the economy changes. By understanding how specific economic variables could affect credit risk for both new applicants and current borrowers, MFC can develop more accurate projections of credit risk and losses, and thus improve its capital management and regulatory control function.
"We already rely on FICO analytics in our auto lending business, and this engagement gives us a dynamic way to forecast loan performance," said Francois van Rensburg, head of Credit Risk Modelling at Motor Finance Corporation. "FICO's sophisticated economic impact analytics will help us not only manage our capital better but also improve our reporting to South African bank regulators."
"We were an early adopter of FICO's innovative approach to economic modeling, and saw that it could also give us further control over our auto loan portfolio," said Hanlie Roux, who is the senior statistician for Scorecards of the Retail Credit Lab. "FICO's team are consulting with us as we adopt this methodology in other parts of our business. We see our analytic partnership with FICO as a distinct competitive advantage."
"Nedbank has an advanced analytics practice that really sets the bank apart," said Hayley Kershaw, general manager for FICO in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. "In the wake of a global economic crisis, we believe economic impact modeling should become standard practice for credit risk management and capital management. Much of the lending industry will be playing catch-up with Nedbank."
Nedbank's Hanlie Roux will present a session on "Adjusting Risk Scores with Macroeconomic Forecasts" at FICO™ World 2013, April 30-May 3 in Miami. For more information, visit www.ficoworld.com.
FICO (NYSE: FICO), formerly known as Fair Isaac, delivers superior predictive analytics solutions that drive smarter decisions. The company's groundbreaking use of mathematics to predict consumer behavior has transformed entire industries and revolutionized the way risk is managed and products are marketed. FICO's innovative solutions include the industry-leading solutions for measuring credit risk, managing credit accounts, identifying and minimizing the impact of fraud, and customizing consumer offers with pinpoint accuracy. Most of the world's top banks, as well as leading insurers, retailers, pharmaceutical companies and government agencies, rely on FICO solutions to accelerate growth, control risk, boost profits and meet regulatory and competitive demands. Learn more at www.fico.com. FICO: Make every decision count™.
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Statement Concerning Forward-Looking Information
Except for historical information contained herein, the statements contained in this news release that relate to FICO or its business are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially, including the success of the Company's Decision Management strategy and reengineering plan, the maintenance of its existing relationships and ability to create new relationships with customers and key alliance partners, its ability to continue to develop new and enhanced products and services, its ability to recruit and retain key technical and managerial personnel, competition, regulatory changes applicable to the use of consumer credit and other data, the failure to realize the anticipated benefits of any acquisitions, continuing material adverse developments in global economic conditions, and other risks described from time to time in FICO's SEC reports, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended September 30, 2012 and its last quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ended December 31, 2012. If any of these risks or uncertainties materializes, FICO's results could differ materially from its expectations. FICO disclaims any intent or obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
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