New Report Finds Waiting to Buy a Home Could Cost Thousands

30-Year Financial Benefit of Owning Ranges From More Than $1 Million in Santa Cruz, Calif. to $200,000 Nationally

May 28, 2015, 09:00 ET from realtor.com

SAN JOSE, Calif., May 28, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- With interest rates and home prices expected to climb in the next year, the financial penalties of delaying or forgoing a home purchase in today's market have become very steep, according to the inaugural Opportunity Cost Report released today by realtor.com®, a leading provider of online real estate services operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] subsidiary Move, Inc. The proprietary report examines a wide range of factors, including the long-term financial impact of owning versus renting a home, the likely monetary gain renters forego in waiting to buy and the financial benefits of homeownership by market.

National Outlook

30-Year Total Financial Benefit of Owning

Penalty of Waiting 1 Year to Buy

Penalty of Waiting 3 Years to Buy

$217,726

-$18,672

-$54,879

"Current market conditions give buyers the opportunity to build substantial wealth in the long-term, compared with renters and later buyers, in advance of  the projected increase in mortgage rates and continuing price appreciation," said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist for realtor.com®.  "The problem is inventory is low, which has many would-be home buyers – especially first timers – standing on the sidelines and missing out on potentially material financial gains."

Nationally, the estimated wealth an average buyer would accumulate over a 30-year period based on today's dollars totals $217,726.  Although some markets are more buyer-friendly than others, national data shows homeowners see significant financial benefits as compared to lifetime renters. In 88 percent of MSAs, buying a home produces a financial benefit of at least $100,000 over 30 years.

Market Outlook: 10 Markets with Long-Term Gains Exceeding $500,000

Market

30-Year Total Financial Benefit of Owning

Penalty of Waiting 1 Year to Buy

Penalty of Waiting 3 Years to Buy

Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA

$1,006,413

-$65,780

-$203,524

Santa Rosa, CA

$883,068

-$44,402

-$138,553

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA

$782,144

-$61,805

-$191,053

Urban Honolulu, HI

$714,748

-$46,464

-$136,943

Napa, CA

$712,192

-$40,182

-$126,036

Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

$696,131

-$26,637

-$88,297

Salinas, CA

$553,158

-$39,145

-$119,413

San Diego-Carlsbad, CA

$518,382

-$35,317

-$107,842

San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles-Arroyo Grande, CA

$510,719

-$44,343

-$133,835

Fairbanks, AK

$507,368

-$26,883

-$78,158

Ten markets offer an especially considerable upside to owning, with estimated 30-year financial gains above $500,000, and opportunity costs of waiting three years as high as $200,000.  These MSAs, in California and other Western states, are relatively expensive markets with strong housing demand and limited supply. The potential long-term wealth in these areas is the greatest nationwide, and likewise, the long-term financial penalty for delaying ownership is substantial, due to price appreciation, escalating rents, and higher mortgage rates on the horizon. (An analysis of the Top 100 MSAs follows.)

"This analysis looks solely at the financial reasons to buy a home, based on assumptions about rising mortgage rates and changes in home values," Smoke said. "It's important to remember that a home purchase decision is deeply personal. Potential buyers need to consider factors such as upcoming life events, job security and potential relocation, in addition to financial benefits, because they too can have a significant impact on ownership."

About the realtor.com® Opportunity Cost Report

Realtor.com® analyzed the 382 largest markets in the U.S. using data on current median existing home prices, rents, local mortgage rates and estimates of property tax and insurance rates, and factored in maintenance costs, costs of selling, and forecasts for mortgage rates, home prices and rents over a 30-year time horizon.

Supporting Resources

About Move, Inc. and realtor.com®

Move, Inc., a subsidiary of News Corp, is a leading provider of online real estate services. Move operates the realtor.com® website and mobile experiences, which connect people to the most important and accurate information they need to find their perfect home and to the REALTORS® whose expertise guides consumers through buying and selling. As the official website of the National Association of REALTORS®, realtor.com® empowers consumers to make smart home buying, selling and renting decisions by leveraging its direct, real-time connections with more than 800 multiple listing services (MLS) via all types of computers, tablets and smartphones. In addition to the industry's most comprehensive and accurate information, Move's network of websites provides consumers a wealth of innovative tools, including Doorsteps®, Moving.com™, SeniorHousingNetSM  and others. Move supports real estate agents and brokerages by providing many services to grow their businesses, including ListHub™, the nation's leading listing syndicator and centralized intelligence platform for the real estate industry; TigerLead®; Top Producer® Systems; and FiveStreetSM; as well as many free services. Move is based in the heart of Silicon Valley – in San Jose, Calif.  

Forward-Looking Statements

This document contains certain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's views and assumptions regarding future events and business performance as of the time the statements are made. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations due to changes in global economic, business, competitive market and regulatory and other factors. More detailed information about these and other factors that could affect future results is contained in News Corp's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The "forward-looking statements" included in this document are made only as of the date of this document and we do not have any obligation to publicly update any "forward-looking statements" to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except as required by law. 

Media Contact: Sara Johnson sara.johnson@move.com 408-558-7211

To view the realtor.com® Opportunity Cost Report market list, visit:
http://origin-qps.onstreammedia.com/origin/multivu_archive/ENR/0-Financial-Benefit-of-Owning-Market-List.pdf

 

SOURCE realtor.com