North American Locomotive Market: A Strategic Analysis of Powertrain Technologies and Auxiliary Systems Considered by OEMs for EPA Emission Compliance
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The research service provides an analysis of the North American locomotive market and focuses on powertrain technologies to be used to cope with stringent emission norms stipulated by EPA. The study covers all segments of the pushpull locomotive market, namely line haul freight, switchers, passenger diesel and passenger electric, and identifies the opportunities for new locomotives in each of these segments. It further provides an indepth analysis of various powertrain technologies and idle reduction technologies that shall be adopted by locomotive OEMs to comply with EPA emission norms. The study also throws light on the various hybrid and alternative fuel locomotives being developed and their impact on the overall locomotive market.
Table of Contents
Scope of the Study 14
Executive Summary 17
North American Freight Locomotive Market 25
An Overview of the North American Freight Locomotive Market 26 Key Market Drivers and Restraints for Freight locomotives 28
Freight Locomotive Technology Trends 31
Freight Traffic Trends 32
Locomotive Fleet Age Analysis 34
Freight Locomotive Forecast 35
North American Passenger Locomotive Market 36
Overview of Passenger Locomotive Market 37
Market Drivers and Restraints for Passenger Locomotive Market 38
Passenger Locomotive Technology Trends 41
Inter-City Passenger Rail Traffic 42
Commuter Rail Traffic and Fleet Analysis 43
Overview of High Speed Rail in North America 45
Passenger Locomotive Forecast 47
Emission Norms and Regulations 48
Emissions by Locomotives 49
An Overview of Rail Budget in the U.S. 50
Funding program for Clean Locomotives 51
Key Industry Challenges for Locomotive Systems 52
EPA Emission Standards for Locomotives in the U.S. 53
Comparison of PM and NOX Reduction Analysis for Locomotives of Different Tiers 54
EPA Emission Standard for Non Road Engines in the U.S. 55
Comparison of PM and NOX Reduction Level Analysis for Non Road Engines of Different Tiers 56
Time Line Road Map for Emission Reduction for Locomotives and Non Road Engines 57
Exemptions and Provision to EPA Emission Regulations 58
Low Emitting Locomotives: Genset Locomotive Market 59
An Overview of Genset Locomotives 60
Drivers and Advantages of Genset Locomotives 61
Mapping of Non Road Engines Users and their Suppliers 62
Genset Locomotive Forecast 63
Non Road Engine Forecast 64
Low Emitting Locomotives – Electric Locomotives Market 65
An Overview of Electric Locomotives Market 66
Electric and Dual Mode Electric Locomotives 67
Electric Locomotive Forecast 68 Locomotive Powertrain Technologies 69
A Snapshot at Diesel Powertrain Technologies in Use and Consideration for Emission Reduction 70
Engine Based Technologies for Emission Reduction 71
Common Rail Injection Technology 72
Penetration Analysis 73
Advanced Air management Systems 74
Penetration Analysis 75
Turbo Charging Technologies 76
Penetration Analysis 77
Exhaust Gas Recirculation Technology 79
Penetration Analysis 80
Exhaust Gas After-treatment Technology 81
DPF Penetration Analysis 83
SCR Penetration Analysis 84
Quantifying Emission Reduction Technologies' Impact on High Horsepower Locomotives 85
An Analysis - Powertrain Technologies and Their Implication on PM Reduction 86
An Analysis - Powertrain Technologies and Their Implication on NOX Reduction 87
Quantifying Emission Reduction Technologies' Impact on Medium Horsepower Switcher Locomotives 88
An Analysis - Powertrain Technologies and Their Implication on PM Reduction 89
An Analysis - Powertrain Technologies and Their Implication on NOX Reduction 90
Emerging Powertrain Technology Roadmap for Medium and High Horse Power Locomotives 91
Engine Based Technologies – Supply Chain 92
Idle Reduction Technologies for Locomotive Emission Reduction 94
Supplementary Technologies in Use and Consideration for Emission Reduction 95 Locomotive Idle Reduction Technologies 96 Automatic Start Stop Systems 97
Auxiliary Power Units 98
Idle Reduction Technologies Pay Back Time Analysis 99
Performance Benchmarking of Idle Reduction Technologies 100
Idle reduction Technologies? Penetration Forecast in Newly Locomotives 101
Suppliers of Idle Reduction Technologies 102 Hybrid and Alternative Fuel Locomotives 103
Hybrid Powertrain – Brake Energy Recovery and Battery Powered Locomotives 104
Micro and Full Hybrid Locomotives 105
Challenges in Hybridisation of Locomotives 106
Battery Technologies Under Consideration for Locomotives 107
Comparative Analysis of Battery Technologies 108
Development and Application of Hybrid Locomotives - Hybridization Mapping 109
Hybrid locomotive Forecast 110 A Snapshot at Alternative Fuel Locomotives 111
Comparison of Alternative Fuels For Railroad Use 112
Alternative Fuel Technology Road Map 113
Competitive Structure and Benchmarking of Locomotive Market 114
Market Structure 115
Comparative Analysis of Product offerings of Key Participants 116
Market Positioning by Segment and Horse Power 117
Market Positioning by Fuel Type and Powertrain 118
Technology Adoption Plans of Locomotive Manufacturers 119
Competitor Benchmarking 120
Strategic Partnerships in the Locomotive Market 122
Conclusion and Recommendations 123
About Frost & Sullivan 133
List of Figures
Freight Locomotive Market: Segmentation of Freight Locomotives (North America), 2010 27
Passenger Locomotive Market: Segmentation (North America), 2010 37
Passenger Locomotive Market: Commuter Rail Locomotive Fleet Details (North America), 2010 43
Passenger Locomotive Market: Future Locomotive Requirement for Commuter Rail Networks (North America), 2010 44
Passenger Locomotive Market: High Speed Projects (U.S.), 2010 45
Passenger Locomotive Market: High Speed Projects Likely to be Commissioned by 2017 (North America), 2010 46
Locomotive Market: Clean Locomotive Funding Program (North America), 2010-2012 51
Locomotive Market: Line Haul & Passenger Locomotive Emission Standards in (g/bhp.hr) (U.S.), 2010 53
Locomotive Market: Switch Locomotive Emission Standards in (g/bhp.hr) (U.S.), 2010 53
Locomotive Market: EPA Non Road Engine Emissions (600 < hp <= 750) (U.S.), 2010 55
Locomotive Market: Non Road Engine > 750 bhp (U.S.), 2010 55
Locomotive Market: OEM's Future Turbo Charging Preference by 2015 (North America), 2010 77
Locomotive Market: OEM's Readiness to Adopting After-treatment Technologies (North America), 2010 82
Locomotive Market: SCR VS EGR Performance Comparison (North America), 2010 82
Locomotive Market: Powertrain Technologies for Emission Reduction in Line Haul High Horsepower Locomotives (North America), 2005-2010 85
Powertrain Technologies for Emission Reduction Post 2012 in High Horsepower (3,500<hp
Locomotive Market: Powertrain Technologies for Emission Reduction on Switchers of Powertrain Class 600<hp
Powertrain Technologies for Emission Reduction Post 2012 in Switchers of Powertrain Class 600<hp
Locomotive Market: AESS Effectiveness (North America), 2010 97
Locomotive Market: Cost Analysis of Idle Reduction Technologies (North America), 2010 99
Locomotive Market: Limitations of Idle Reduction Technologies (North America), 2010 99
Locomotive Market: Popular Idle Reduction Products (North America), 2010 102
Locomotive Market: Hybrid Locomotive Manufacturers (North America), 2010 109
Locomotive Market: Comparative Analysis of Alternative Fuel Locomotives (North America), 2010 112
Locomotive Market: Fleet Share by Application (North America), 2010 115
Locomotive Market: Product and Technology Capabilities of Locomotive OEMs (North America), 2010 116
Locomotive Market: Technology in Use and Adoption Plans by Locomotive Manufacturers (North America), 2010 119
List of Charts
Locomotive Market: Share by Segment (North America), 2010 18
Locomotive Market: Share by Fuel Type (North America), 2010 18
Locomotive Market: Average Fleet Age of Freight Locomotives Owned by Railroads (North America), 2010 18
Locomotive Market: Locomotive Average Fleet Age by Passenger and Freight Segment (North America), 2010 18
Locomotive Market: Total Locomotive Requirement (North America), 2010 and 2017 19
Locomotive Market: Technology Roadmap (North America), 2010 20
Locomotive Market: Step by Step use of Technologies for NOX Reductions in Locomotives (North America), 2010 21
Locomotive Market: Step by Step use of Technologies for PM Reductions in Locomotives (North America), 2010 21
Locomotive Market: New generation Battery Powered Hybrid Locomotives (North America), 2010 21
Locomotive Market: Key Findings (North America), 2010 23
Locomotive Market: Key Conclusions (North America), 2010 24
Freight Locomotive Market: Regional Split of Locomotive Fleets Installed (World), 2010 26
Freight Locomotive Market : Key Market Drivers and Restraints (North America), 2011-2017 28
Freight Locomotive Market: Key Market Drivers (North America), 2011-2017 29
Freight Locomotive Market: Key Market Restraints (North America), 2011-2017 30
Freight Locomotive Market: Freight Locomotive Technology Trends (North America), 2010-2017 31
Freight Locomotive Market : Class I Railroad Traffic Volume (U.S.), 2007-2010 32
Freight Locomotive Market: Year to Date (9th October 2010) Rail Traffic Growth of Major Commodity Groups against 2008 and 2009 levels (North America), 2010 33
Freight Locomotive Market: Average age of Locomotive Fleet owned by North American Class I Railroads (North America), 2010 34
Freight Locomotive Market: Share of Locomotive Fleet Owned by Class I Railroads (North America), 2010 34
Freight Locomotive Market: Line Haul and Switcher Locomotive Sales Forecast (North America), 2010 35
Passenger Locomotive Market: Key Market Drivers and Restraints (North America), 2011-2017 38
Passenger Locomotive Market: Key Market Drivers (North America), 2011-2017 39
Passenger Locomotive Market: Key Market Restraints (North America), 2011-2017 40
Passenger Locomotive Market: Technology Trends (North America), 2010-2017 41
Passenger Locomotive Market: Amtrak Ridership (The U.S.), FY 2002 - FY 2010 42
Passenger Locomotive Market: Amtrak Locomotive Renewal Plan (The U.S.), 2010 – 2020 42
Passenger Locomotive Market: Commuter Rail Ridership (The U.S.), 2002 – 2010 43
Passenger Locomotive Market: Upcoming Commuter Rail Projects (The U.S.), 2010 45
Passenger Locomotive Market: Cumulative Network Length Forecast (North America), 2010-2020 46
Passenger Locomotive Market: Passenger Locomotive Sales Forecast (North America), 2010 - 2017 47
Locomotive Market: Mobile Source for NOX (North America), 2010 49
Locomotive Market: Mobile Source for Diesel PM (North America), 2010 49
Locomotive Market: An Overview of Rail Budget (U.S.), 2009 -2011 50
Locomotive Market: Key Market Challenges (North America), 2010 52
Locomotive Market: PM Vs NOX Emission Reduction Plan (North America) 2010 - 2017 54
Locomotive Market: PM Vs NOX Emission Reduction Plan (U.S.), 2010 56
Locomotive Market: Time-line for Emission Reduction for Locomotives and Non Road Engines (U.S.), 2010-2015 57
Locomotive Market: Exemptions and Provisions (U.S.), 2010 58
Genset Locomotive Market: Key Market Drivers (North America), 2011-2017 61
Genset Locomotive Market: Non Road Powertrain Suppliers (North America), 2010 62
Genset Locomotive Market: Locomotive Sales Forecast (North America), 2010-2017 63
Genset Locomotive Market: Sales Forecast of Non Road Engine Requirement for Locomotives (North America), 2010-2017 65
Electric Locomotive Market: Market Share of Electric Fleet Ownership by Operators (North America), 2010 66
Electric Locomotive Market: Electric Locomotive Forecast (North America), 2010 68
Locomotive Market: Diesel Powertrain Technologies in Use and Consideration for Emission Reduction (North America), 2010 70
Locomotive Market: In-powertrain Technologies Considered for Further Emission Reduction (North America), 2010 71
Locomotive Market : Penetration of Common Rail (North America), 2010-2017 72
Locomotive Market: Common Rail Injection Penetration Units by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 73
Locomotive Market : Penetration of Advanced Air Management Systems (North America), 2010-2017 75
Locomotive Market: Advanced Air Management System Penetration Units by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 75
Locomotive Market : Penetration of Turbocharger Systems (North America), 2010-2017 77
Locomotive Market: Fixed Geometry Turbochargers Unit Penetration by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 77
Locomotive Market: Variable Geometry Turbochargers Unit Penetration by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 78
Locomotive Market: Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR) for Locomotive (North America), 2010-2017 79
Locomotive Market: Penetration of EGR Systems (North America), 2010-2017 79
Locomotive Market: EGR Systems Penetration by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 80
Locomotive Market : Penetration of DPF Systems (North America), 2010-2017 83
Locomotive Market: DPF Penetration Units by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 83
Locomotive Market : Penetration of SCR Systems (North America), 2010-2017 84
Locomotive Market: SCR Penetration Units by Segment (North America), 2010-2017 84
Locomotive Market: PM Reduction by Technology Use for Powertrain Class 3,500<hp
Locomotive Market: NOX Reduction by Technology Use for Powertrain Class 3,500<hp
Locomotive Market: PM Reduction by Technology Use for Powertrain Class 1000<hp
Locomotive Market: NOX Reduction by Technology Use for Powertrain Class 1000<hp
Locomotive Market: Technology Road Map for EPA Emission Compliance (North America), 2005-2017 91
Locomotive Market: Powertrain Technology Supply Chain for Short Haul/Switcher Locomotives – Medium Horsepower (1,000-3,000 HP) (North America), 2010 93
Locomotive Market: Impacts of Locomotive Idling (North America), 2010 95
Locomotive Market: Drivers for AESS Installation (North America), 2010 97
Locomotive Market: Idle Reduction Technology Effectiveness – An Analysis (North America), 2010 100
Locomotive Market: Idle Reduction Technology Forecast (North America) 2010-2017 101
Locomotive Market: Suppliers Mapping by Idle Reduction Technology (North America), 2010 102
Locomotive Market: Challenges in commercialisation of Hybrid Concepts (North America), 2010 106
Locomotive Market: Battery technologies for Hybrid Powertrains in Locomotives (North America), 2010 107
Locomotive Market: Comparative Analysis of Battery Technologies for Locomotive Use (North America), 2010 107
Locomotive Market: Performance Benchmarking of Battery Technologies for Locomotive Application (North America), 2010 108
Locomotive Market: Hybridisation Mapping by Locomotive Manufacturers (North America), 2010 109
Locomotive Market: Hybrid Locomotive Forecast (North America), 2010-2017 110
Locomotive Market: Types of Alternative Fuel Locomotives under Consideration (North America), 2010 111
Locomotive Market: Locomotive Hybridisation Technology Roadmap (North America), 2010 113
Locomotive Market: Market Share of Manufacturers by Sales Orders (North America), 2010 115
Locomotive Market: Market Positioning of Locomotive Manufacturers by Segment and Horsepower (North America), 2010 117
Locomotive Market: Market Positioning of Locomotive Manufacturers by Fuel Type and Powertrain (North America), 2010 118
Locomotive Market: Competitor Benchmarking (North America), 2010 121
Locomotive Market: Snapshot at High hp Freight Locomotives Parked Forecast (North America), 2010 and 2017 124
Locomotive Market: Snapshot at Medium hp Switcher Locomotives Parked (North America), 2010 and 2017 124
Locomotive Market: Snapshot at High hp Diesel Passenger Locomotives Parked (North America), 2010 and 2017 124
Locomotive Market: Snapshot at Electric Passenger Locomotives Parked Forecast (North America), 2010 and 2017 124
Locomotive Market: Summary of Locomotive Powertrain Sales Forecast (North America), 2010-2017 125
Locomotive Market: Locomotive Powertrain Sales Forecast by Hybrid Technology Penetration (North America), 2010-2017 126
Locomotive Market: Penetration Forecast of Powertrain Technologies (North America), 2010-2017 127
Locomotive Market: Penetration Forecast of Exhaust After-treatment Technologies (North America), 2010-2017 128
Locomotive Market: Key Findings (North America), 2010 129
Locomotive Market: Recommendations (North America), 2010 130
To order this report:
Railway Passenger Transport Industry: North American Locomotive Market: A strategic Analysis of Powertrain Technologies and Auxiliary Systems Considered by OEMs for EPA Emission Compliance
Railway Passenger Transport Business News
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Nicolas Bombourg
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