The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico Increases

NEW YORK, April 25, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico increased 0.8 percent in February to 127.1 (2004 = 100), following a 2.0 percent increase in January, and a 0.2 percent increase in December.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Mexico, a measure of current economic activity, was unchanged in February, remaining at 122.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent increase in January, and a 0.3 percent decline in December.

The LEI for Mexico increased for the third consecutive month in February, and its six-month growth rate has picked up substantially in recent months. The CEI for Mexico has been flat over the past few months and its growth rate has slowed significantly. Taken together, the composite indexes and their components suggest that the pace of economic growth will remain moderate in 2013.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The six components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Mexico include:

Industrial Production, Construction Component 
Stock Prices 
U.S. Refiners' Acquisition Cost of Domestic and Imported Crude Oil 
Net Insufficient Inventories 
Federal Funds Rate 
Real Exchange Rate

For more information including full press release and technical notes: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=8

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board 
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

 

Summary Table of Composite Indexes












2012



2013


6-month


Dec



Jan



Feb


Aug to Feb











Leading index 

123.6

r


126.1



127.1



  Percent Change

0.2

r


2.0

r


0.8


3.1

  Diffusion

75.0

r


91.7



58.3


75.0











Coincident Index

122.7



122.8

r


122.8



  Percent Change

-0.3



0.1

r


0.0


0.4

  Diffusion 

33.3



50.0



33.3


33.3











n.a. Not available          p Preliminary          r Revised

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

Source: The Conference Board                 All Rights Reserved 

 

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