2014

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain Increases

NEW YORK, Nov. 15, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain increased 0.5 percent in September to 106.9 (2004 = 100), following a 0.2 percent increase in August, and a 0.5 percent increase in July.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Spain, a measure of current economic activity, declined 0.3 percent in September to 92.8 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent decline in August, and a 0.2 percent decline in July.

The LEI for Spain has been trending upward during the past twelve months, and as a result its six-month growth rate has improved. Meanwhile, the CEI for Spain has been on a downward trend for more than two years, but its six-month growth rate has become less negative than earlier this year. Taken together, the recent behavior of the composite indexes suggests that the current contraction in the economy should continue to ease and modest economic growth is possible going into 2014.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain  
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The six components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Spain include:

Capital Equipment Component of Industrial Production 
Contribution to Euro M2 
Stock Price Index 
Long term Government Bond Yield 
Order Books Survey 
Job Placings 
For more information including full press release and technical notes: 
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=9

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

Summary Table of Composite Indexes


2013


6-month



Jul


Aug


Sep


Mar to Sep


Leading Economic Index (LEI)

106.2

r

106.4

r

106.9




   Percent Change

0.5

r

0.2


0.5


2.5


   Diffusion 

58.3


33.3


66.7


83.3











Coincident Economic Index (CEI) 

93.2

93.1

92.8

p



   Percent Change 

-0.2

-0.1

-0.3

p  

-1.1

p

   Diffusion

40.0


60.0


50.0


80.0











n.a. Not available   p Preliminary   r Revised

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

Source: The Conference Board      All Rights Reserved

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