Evaluate the market for 2014 and from 2015 to 2020 for 10 major alternative fuels for commercial vehicles across North America, Latin America, and the Europe/Middle East/Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific regions.
Analyze the comparative business cost advantages of the numerous potential alternative fuels in relation to the cost of operating with traditional diesel fuel.
Examine which fuels will succeed or not in each global region.
Determine the best way to win in the complex world of alternative fuels for commercial vehicles and to avoid the risks of betting on the wrong fuels.
The global market for alternative fuels for commercial vehicles totaled $52.6 billion in 2014 and $39.3 billion in 2015. The market should total $80.3 billion by 2020, in the base case of $80-per-barrel oil, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.4% from 2015 to 2020.
The global market for LPG fueled commercial vehicles totaled nearly $22.0 billion in 2014.
The market should total $25.5 billion by 2020, increasing at a CAGR of 12.5% from 2015 to 2020, in the base case of $80-per-barrel oil.
The global market for CNG totaled nearly $11.2 billion in 2014, and should total over $20.0 billion by 2020, increasing at a CAGR of 17.1% from 2015 to 2020, with a base case of $80-per-barrel oil.
STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
The goal of this report is to provide an understanding of the multiple alternative fuels for commercial vehicles, and the global market for those alternative fuels consumed by commercial vehicles.
Identifying and describing the numerous alternative fuels for commercial vehicles and their variants.
Estimating the breakeven oil price points for each fuel for each region at which they produce a favorable payback for commercial vehicles.
Estimating the current and future size of the installed bases ("parcs") for alternatively fueled commercial vehicles.
Estimating current and future demand for each alternative fuel, for each category of commercial vehicle, for each global region, in the near- and medium-term (2014 to 2020).
Identifying the key stakeholders in the market, including the producers and feedstock suppliers of conventional (oil, gasoline, diesel) and alternative fuels (natural gas, LPG, DME, methanol, ethanol, biodiesel, hydrogen and Hythane), their distributors and retailers, the suppliers of alternative fuel production and support equipment, and
REASONS FOR DOING THE STUDY
Fuel costs are one of the highest marginal cost for commercial vehicle fleets. In this highly competitive world, there is a constant need to understand the comparative business case cost advantages of the numerous potential alternative fuels in relation to the cost of operating with traditional diesel fuel.
Alternative fuels for commercial vehicles pose both opportunities and threats as they increase their market penetration. They offer opportunities to both traditional and new fuel producers and other stakeholders who embrace and pursue the most viable alternative fuels in each region. But they also pose a threat to those traditional producers of the legacy diesel fuel as alternative fuels displace an increasing volume of
diesel. Alternative fuels also pose a threat to those who pursue the wrong alternative fuels in a given region, whereby demand fails to materialize for those alternative fuels they invest in.
The objective of this report is to identify which fuels will be the winners and which will be the losers in each global region. With that information, the reader will be able to determine the best way to win in the complex world of alternative fuels for commercial vehicles and to avoid the risks of betting on the wrong fuels.
In order to achieve that objective, this report is laid out differently than most syndicated market research reports, which focus on providing forecasts of a single alternative fuel, based on recent and current comparative fuel pricing. But fuels are commodities that vary widely in price over even a two- to three-year period. As a result, any forecasts of alternative fuel units and revenues in such syndicated research reports become obsolete as soon as the prices of oil, diesel and a particular alternative fuel move meaningfully from the prices that the forecast was predicated upon.
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