2014

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights:Royal Bank of Scotland, Banco Santander, Tesco, Blackstone Group and Jabil Circuit

CHICAGO, Sept. 24, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (NYSE: RBS-Free Report), Banco Santander, S.A. (NYSE: SAN-Free Report), Tesco PLC's (OTC:TSCDY-Free Report), Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE: BX-Free Report) and Jabil Circuit Inc (NYSE: JBL-Free Report)

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Today, Zacks is promoting its ''Buy'' stock recommendations. Get #1Stock of the Day pick for free.

Here are highlights from Monday's Analyst Blog:

RBS in Talks to Divest Branches

The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (NYSE: RBS-Free Report) is in negotiation with private equity firms Corsair Capital and Centerbridge regarding the sale of its branches, under Project Rainbow. Corsair Capital and Centerbridge plan to offer roughly £600–£800 million, which would result in an equity stake until a stock flotation occurs in the future.


U.S.-based Corsair Capital has teamed up with Centerbridge as well as other investors including the Church of England's investment fund and Standard Life Investments in bidding for these branches.

Royal Bank of Scotland is yet to tide over its troubles and remains 81% owned by the U.K. taxpayers. Further, private ownership looks unlikely in the near future. The bank has been ordered by the European Union to sell as many as 315 branches to comply with state-aid regulations.

The branches on sale are Natwest branches in Scotland and the parent company's branches in England and Wales. These have roughly £21.5 billion in consumer deposits and serve small businesses and consumers.

Rise and Fall of Royal Bank of Scotland

Once the shining example of Britain's banking system, Royal Bank of Scotland has established that market dominance is transient. The banking major – which started out as a regional bank in Edinburg – became Scotland's own economic miracle, with nearly 26 acquisitions in 7 years (up to 2007).

However, when the banking crisis erupted, it became obvious that many of the assets against which Royal Bank of Scotland had borrowed money were worth only a portion of its previous value. In 2008, the British government was forced to rescue the bank with the biggest bailout in history worth nearly £45 billion ($70 billion). However, 5 years down the line, the British government is still struggling to recover that amount and put the past behind.  

Other Bidding Companies

In Oct 2012, Project Rainbow suffered a setback when Banco Santander, S.A. (NYSE: SAN-Free Report) stepped out of an agreement to purchase the branches.

Apart from Corsair Capital and Centerbridge, other final round bidders included W&G Investments Plc, the investment vehicle headed by Tesco PLC's (OTC:TSCDY-Free Report) former director of finance, Andrew Higginson. Another bid was also made by AnaCap Financial Partners, in collaboration with U.S. private equity giant The Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE: BX-Free Report).

Conclusion

Initially, the British government was commended for undertaking the bailout of banks during the financial crisis in 2007. However, the long process of restructuring banks is hurting the still-weak British economy. Further, the government's decision in 2008 to take a passive approach to manage its stakes in the deeply troubled banks has added to the country's woes.

However, after years of a muted approach, the Treasury is adopting a proactive strategy toward The Royal Bank of Scotland. The British administration has demanded that the bank reduce its investment bank, shrink its U.S. unit and refocus on the U.K. business.

In compliance with the orders, Royal Bank of Scotland sold out of its stake in Global Merchant Services (WorldPay) and RBS Sempra Commodities. It has also initiated the spin-off of the insurance business as the Direct Line Group through an initial public offering (IPO). It would have divested some branches as well had the deal with Banco Santander not faced delays in closure due to technology integration problems.

However, we are encouraged by Royal Bank of Scotland's efforts to restructure its business. With the divestment of its non-profitable units, we believe that the bank will be able to reinstate its former glory.

Royal Bank of Scotland currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

Will Jabil (JBL) Beat Earnings Estimates?

Jabil Circuit Inc (NYSE: JBL-Free Report) is set to report fiscal fourth quarter 2013 results on Sep 25. In the prior quarter, the company posted an average positive earnings surprise of 4.35%. Moreover, the company has posted an average positive earnings surprise of 0.74% over the past four quarters. Let's see how things are shaping up for the company in this quarter.

Growth Factors this Past Quarter

Jabil reported mixed third quarter results. Although earnings of 48 cents per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a couple of cents, revenues marginally lagged the consensus mark.

Revenues increased 5.1% from the year-ago quarter to $4.47 billion. The year-over-year growth was primarily driven by strong performance from the High Velocity and Enterprise & Infrastructure segments, which fully offset a weak performance from the Diversified Manufacturing segment.

Earnings Whispers?

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth quarter stands at 47 cents per share while that for fiscal 2013 is $1.92 per share. There have been no revisions in the fourth quarter and 2013 estimates over the last 60 days.

The lack of any movement in estimates signals that the fourth quarter might not be too different from the past quarters. This is also indicated by that fact that the stock carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

We caution against stocks with Zacks Ranks #4 and #5 (Sell-rated stocks) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions momentum.

Today, Zacks is promoting its ''Buy'' stock recommendations. Get #1Stock of the Day pick for free.

About Zacks Equity Research

Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

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