Thin - Film Photovoltaic (PV) Cells Market Analysis to 2020 - CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide) to Emerge as the Major Technology by 2020
NEW YORK, June 1, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:
Thin - Film Photovoltaic (PV) Cells Market Analysis to 2020 - CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide) to Emerge as the Major Technology by 2020
Summary
The report provides key data, information and analysis on the current status and future outlook of Global Thin film industry. The report provides detailed volume and value forecasts to 2020 of the global thin-film PV market by technology type and geographic region. The global thin film photovoltaic (PV) market, despite of caution in the overall PV industry, is expected to experience an overwhelming growth in coming years. By 2020, the industry is set to transform itself to become the face of Solar PV industry. The study also addresses thin-film module production, production capacity, and competition among the industry players (as per technologies) along with the focus on development of emerging technologies in the thin film arena. The report entails comprehensive analysis of top 5 countries. The strongest growth for thin film, as per our analysis, will be in Europe and the US in the short to medium term. Asian countries like China, Japan, and India are also expected to speedup their escalation in the medium term. In Germany will remain strongest and the most important market for thin film PV industry.
Scope
- This comprehensive report gives a thorough analysis of global thin film photovoltaic (PV) market.
- The report covers top 5 countries – Germany, Japan, the US (United States), China and Republic of Korea.
- Cumulative and annual installed capacity from 2001 to 2009, with forecasts to 2020 for the Global Solar PV and Global Thin Film PV industry.
- Market share and comparative analysis of different thin film technologies along with forecast. Technologies covered include Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS)
- Comparative analysis of traditional solar PV technology and thin film PV technology.
- Competitive landscape which also includes the detailed information of top 10 companies. Key companies covered include First Solar, Inc., United Solar Ovonic, LLC, Sharp Corporation, Kaneka Corporation, Trony Solar Corporation, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.
- Key topics covered include the Market Drivers, Market Restraints, Market trends, emerging market and Investment status.
Reasons to buy
The report will enhance your decision making capability in more rapid and time sensitive manner. It will allow the user to:
- Identify key growth drivers and restrain, and competitive landscape in top 5 countries
- Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry's growth potential by developing strategies based on the industry's emerging technologies and current market strategies adopted by the top players.
- Identify key established industry players along with start-up ventures while analyzing investment trends in the industry.
- Identify the drivers and restraints of global thin film industry along with its established technologies
- Facilitate decision making based on strong historic and forecast data.
- Understand how each technology, each at a different stage of development and adoption, are driven forward to the development path.
1 Table of Contents 4
1.1 List of Tables 7
1.2 List of Figures 8
2 Global Energy Consumption Overview 9
2.1 The Breadth of Global Electricity Consumption 9
2.2 Emergence & Potential of Renewable Energy 10
2.3 Solar Energy: An Attractive Alternative 11
3 Global Solar Photovoltaic (PV), Overview and Market Analysis, 2001-2020 12
3.1 Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Technology, Definition 12
3.2 Solar PV Value Chain 12
3.2.1 Silicon Feedstock 13
3.2.2 Ingots and Wafers 13
3.2.3 Solar PV Cells 13
3.2.4 PV Modules 13
3.2.5 PV System Integration/installation 13
3.3 Solar PV cell type 13
3.3.1 Crystalline Silicon (c-Si) 14
3.3.2 Thin Film Solar PV 14
3.4 Global Solar PV Market Analysis 14
3.4.1 Global Solar PV Market in 2009 14
3.4.2 Global Solar PV Market, Key factors driving the growth of the market 16
3.4.3 Global Solar PV Market, Key Issues Hindering Market Growth 17
3.4.4 Global Solar PV Installed Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity in MW, 2001-2020 17
3.5 Future Outlook 19
4 Global Thin Film Technology - Overview, Share Analysis, Efficiency and Cost Analysis 20
4.1 Thin Film PV Technology Introduction & Evolution 20
4.1.1 Thin Film Technology, Definition 20
4.2 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si) Thin Film – Technology Overview, Market Analysis, and Cost – Conversion Efficiency Analysis 21
4.2.1 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Technology Overview 21
4.2.2 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Technology Evolution 21
4.2.3 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Cell structure 22
4.2.4 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Market Overview 23
4.2.5 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Factors Driving Technology Uptake 23
4.2.6 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Major Restrains Hindering the Technology Growth 24
4.2.7 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Cost and Conversion Efficiency analysis 24
4.2.8 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Key Industry Players 25
4.3 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe) Thin Film – Technology Overview, Market Analysis, and Cost – Conversion Efficiency Analysis 26
4.3.1 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Technology Overview 26
4.3.2 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Module Manufacturing Process and Other Related Details 27
4.3.3 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Market Overview 27
4.3.4 Cadmium telluride (CdTe), Key Factors Driving the Technology's Uptake 28
4.3.5 Cadmium telluride (CdTe), Restraints Hindering the Technology's Uptake 28
4.3.6 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Cost and Efficiency Analysis 28
4.3.7 Cadmium telluride (CdTe), Key industry players 29
4.4 Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS) Thin Film - Technology Overview, Market Analysis, and Cost – Conversion Efficiency Analysis 30
4.4.1 CIGS, Technology Overview 30
4.4.2 CIGS Solar PV Cell Structure 30
4.4.3 CIGS Manufacturing Process 31
4.4.4 CIGS, Market Overview 32
4.4.5 CIGS, Major Factors Driving Technology Uptake 32
4.4.6 CIGS, Restraints Hindering Technology Uptake 33
4.4.7 CIGS, Cost and Efficiency Analysis 33
4.4.8 CIGS, Key Industry Players 34
4.5 Global Thin Film Solar Module Market Share by Technology 35
4.6 Comparative Analysis: Different Thin Film Solar PV Technologies vis-à-vis Traditional Solar PV Technology 37
4.6.1 Solar PV Technologies, Value Chain Analysis 37
4.6.2 Solar PV Technologies, Conversion Efficiency 38
4.6.3 Module Cost/Watt (in $) Comparative Analysis, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film, 2009-2020 39
4.6.4 Conclusion 40
4.7 Thin Film Solar PV Technology, Market Segmentation by End-User 40
5 Global Thin Film Market – Market Analysis, Historical and Forecast Module Production and Installed Capacity, 2001-2020 42
5.1 Global Thin Film Market, Overview 42
5.2 Global Thin Film Market, Key Factors Driving Growth 42
5.2.1 Ambitious Expansion Plans 42
5.2.2 Key Properties, Advantages of Thin Film Technology Over Conventional Silicon Technology 42
5.2.3 Cost-effective Compared to Conventional PV Technology 43
5.2.4 Increase in Investment by Venture Capital Firms Driven by Technological Advances 43
5.2.5 Industry Leader has the Lowest Levelized Cost for Electricity (LCOE) 43
5.2.6 Government Support and Inclination Towards Clean Technology will Drive the Market Growth Potential 43
5.2.7 Global Economic Recovery 43
5.3 Global Thin Film Market, Restraints 44
5.3.1 Less Competitive – Inability to Compete with c-Si and Conventional Energy Sources on Cost 44
5.3.2 More Reliance on Government Subsidies and Incentives 44
5.3.3 Incompetent Properties 44
5.3.4 Easing of Silicon Shortage Leading to hike in Crystalline Silicon Demand 45
5.3.5 Reduction in Oil prices 45
5.4 Global Thin Film Solar PV Module Production in MW, 2001-2020 45
5.5 Global Thin Film Solar PV Installed Capacity in MW, Annual & Cumulative 2001-2020 47
5.6 Global Thin Film PV Technology – Increasing their Share in the Solar Photovoltaic Industry 48
5.7 Thin Film PV Technology Investment Scenario 50
5.8 Global Thin Film PV Industry Roadmap 51
6 Key Analysis of the Top Four Thin Film Module Producing Countries 52
6.1 Top Four Thin Film Producing Countries - Share in Global Thin Film Production in 2009 52
6.2 Germany, Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic and Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies 52
6.2.1 Germany, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview 52
6.2.2 Germany, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production, 2007-2020 53
6.2.3 Germany, Solar Photovoltaic Regulatory Framework 54
6.3 Japan, Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic & Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies 57
6.3.1 Japan, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview 57
6.3.2 Japan, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 58
6.3.3 Japan, Solar PV Power Regulatory Framework 60
6.4 China, Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic & Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies 62
6.4.1 China, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview 62
6.4.2 China, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 62
6.4.3 China, Solar PV Power Regulatory Framework 64
6.5 The US Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic & Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies 66
6.5.1 The United States, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview 66
6.5.2 The US, Historical and Forecast thin film module production in MW, 2001-2020 66
6.5.3 The US Solar PV Regulatory Framework 67
7 Global Thin Film Solar PV Technology, Competitive Landscape 70
7.1 Global Top Ten Thin Film Companies, Module Production Share, in 2009 70
7.2 Comparative Analysis, Major Thin Film Companies 71
7.2.1 Top 10 Thin Film Module Producers, Production Capacity and Production in MW, 2005-2009 73
8 Appendix 75
8.1 About GBI Research 75
8.2 Market Definition 75
8.2.1 Product Types covered 75
8.2.2 Geographies covered 75
8.2.3 Exchange Rate 75
8.2.4 Abbreviations 76
8.3 Methodology 76
8.3.1 Coverage 77
8.3.2 Secondary Research 77
8.3.3 Primary Research 78
8.3.4 Expert Panel Validation 78
8.4 Contact Us 78
8.5 Disclaimer 78
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Electricity Consumption Trajectory, 1950-2050 9
Table 2: World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1990 – 2030, in Quadrillion Bt 10
Table 3: Global Solar PV market in MW, Installed Capacity (MW) 2001-2009, Key Countries 16
Table 4: Global Solar PV Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2001-2020 18
Table 5: Amorphous Silicon (1X), Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020 24
Table 6: CdTe, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020 29
Table 7: CIGS, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020 34
Table 8: Thin Film Solar Module Market, by technology type, Market Share in %, 2001-2020 36
Table 9: Conversion Efficiency, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020 38
Table 10: Module cost/Watt in $, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020 39
Table 11: Global Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2001-2020 46
Table 12: Global Thin Film Solar PV Installed Capacity in MW, Annual and Cumulative, 2001-2020 48
Table 13: Thin Film Market Share in % (in Terms of Production), 2001-2020 49
Table 14: Major Investment in the Thin film Industry, in 2009, $m 50
Table 15: Germany, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 54
Table 16: Germany, Solar PV Market, Digression Rates for Feed-In Tariffs, 2008-2011 54
Table 17: Germany, Solar PV Market, Sliding Scale for Digression Rates, 2008-2011 55
Table 18: Germany, Solar PV Market, Feed-in Tariffs for Ground-Mounted Installations, (cents/kWh), 2008-2015 55
Table 19: Germany, Payment Structure for Different Types of PV Installations, 2004 56
Table 20: Germany, Feed-in-Tariff, € / KWh, 2008-2009 56
Table 21: Japan, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 59
Table 22: Japan, Solar PV Support Measures, 2008 61
Table 23: China, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 63
Table 24: China, Solar PV Support Measures (as of 2008) 65
Table 25: The US, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 67
Table 26: Top 10 Thin Film Companies in 2009, in Terms of Module Production Share, in MW and % 70
Table 27: Comparative Analysis, Major Thin Film Companies 71
Table 28: Top 10 Thin Film Module Producers, Module Production in MW, 2005-2009 74
Table 29: Top 10 Thin Film Module Producers, Production Capacities in MW, 2005-2013 74
Table 30: Exchange Rate Conversion to USD,2009 75
Table 31: Abbreviations 76
1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1990 – 2030, in Quadrillion Btu 9
Figure 2: Solar PV Value Chain 12
Figure 3: Solar PV Cell Type 13
Figure 4: Global Solar PV Market in MW, Installed Capacity (MW) 2001-2009, Key Countries 15
Figure 5: Global Solar PV Cumulative installed capacity (MW), 2001-2020 18
Figure 6: Thin Film Manufacturing Process 20
Figure 7: Evolution of a-Si technology 21
Figure 8: Amorphous Silicon Cell Structure, Single Junction 22
Figure 9: Amorphous Silicon Cell Structure, Triple Junction 22
Figure 10: Amorphous Silicon (1X), Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020 24
Figure 11: CdTe Solar PV Cell Structure, 2010 26
Figure 12: CdTe, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020 29
Figure 13: CIGS, Cell Architecture 31
Figure 14: CIGS, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020 34
Figure 15: Thin Film Solar Module Market, by technology type, Market Share in %, 2001-2020 36
Figure 16: Solar PV Technologies, Value Chain 37
Figure 17: Conversion Efficiency, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020 38
Figure 18: Module Cost/Watt in $, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020 39
Figure 19: Market segment suitability for thin film PV technologies 41
Figure 20: Global Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2001-2020 46
Figure 21: Global Thin Film Solar PV Installed Capacity in MW, Annual & Cumulative, 2001-2020 47
Figure 22: Thin Film Technology Share in % (in Terms of Module Production), 2001-2020 49
Figure 23: Solar PV Technologies, Market Penetration 51
Figure 24: Top Four Thin Film Producing Countries – Share in Global Thin Film Production in 2009, (Production in MW) 52
Figure 25: Germany, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 53
Figure 26: Japan, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 58
Figure 27: China, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 63
Figure 28: The US, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020 67
Figure 29: Top 10 Thin Film Companies in 2009, in Terms of Module production Share , % 70
Figure 30: Top 10 Companies, Production Capacity and Module Production in MW, 2009 73
Figure 31:GBI Research Methodology 77
Companies mentioned
Unisolar
Kaneka
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Sharp
Moser Baer
Fuji Electric Systems
First Solar
Abound Solar, Inc.
Wuerth Solar GmbH
Avancis AG
Solibro GmbH
Showa Cell
Global Solar
Ascent Solar Technologies
To order this report:
Solar Photovoltaic Industry: Thin - Film Photovoltaic (PV) Cells Market Analysis to 2020 - CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide) to Emerge as the Major Technology by 2020
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Nicolas Bombourg
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